This wasn’t too bad eh? Though I actually underestimated Young King.
What I noted is that in your prediction, Northampton County (on the Eastern Shore) went blue, which is quite interesting since it's a lot like Virginia in terms of Democratic margin in 2020, but like Virginia, narrowly backed Youngkin (margin was also about 2 points). So if I just looked at that map for a second I'd assume it's a close race, but out of laziness and convenience would look at the results in Northampton and assume McAuliffe narrowly pulled off a win.