THG’s revisited final VA prediction
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  THG’s revisited final VA prediction
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THG
TheTarHeelGent
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« on: October 31, 2021, 11:55:33 AM »
« edited: October 31, 2021, 12:19:52 PM by YOUNGKIN SURGE »



My map is the same but I’ve officially gone from predicting a tilt/lean McAuillife victory to predicting a narrow Youngkin victory.

It’ll be under a point, and I will be happily surprised if Youngkin wins by over 2 points or so.
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THG
TheTarHeelGent
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2021, 10:42:17 AM »

This wasn’t too bad eh? Though I actually underestimated Young King.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2021, 11:15:00 AM »

This wasn’t too bad eh? Though I actually underestimated Young King.

What I noted is that in your prediction, Northampton County (on the Eastern Shore) went blue, which is quite interesting since it's a lot like Virginia in terms of Democratic margin in 2020, but like Virginia, narrowly backed Youngkin (margin was also about 2 points). So if I just looked at that map for a second I'd assume it's a close race, but out of laziness and convenience would look at the results in Northampton and assume McAuliffe narrowly pulled off a win.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2021, 11:18:57 AM »

You almost got it spot on. Nice.
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