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Poll
Question: Rate the 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial Election
#1
Safe McAuliffe
#2
Likely McAuliffe
#3
Lean McAuliffe
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt McAuliffe
#5
Toss-Up/Tilt Youngkin
#6
Lean Youngkin
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Partisan results

Author Topic: Rate Virginia  (Read 2459 times)
ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: October 30, 2021, 01:09:17 PM »
New poll since opinions on this race have shifted and I for some reason didn't allow the option to change your vote in the old thread.
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Abdullah
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2021, 01:43:21 PM »
Likely McAuliffe, D+8

Did something change over the last two weeks?
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BigSerg
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2021, 01:48:20 PM »
Tilt McAuliffe +2
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2021, 01:48:46 PM »
Quote from: YOU JUST POSTED MALARKEY! on October 30, 2021, 01:43:21 PM
Likely McAuliffe, D+8

Did something change over the last two weeks?

Quite a bit actually. The race has tightened a lot and several recent polls have Youngkin ahead or a tie.

The last two weeks have not been good ones for McAuliffe.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2021, 01:49:28 PM »
Anyway, barring all caveats...McAuliffe+2 or something.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2021, 01:50:33 PM »
Tilt/Lean D, McAuliffe by 2.5. Still an unequivocally bad result for Democrats.
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Abdullah
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2021, 01:53:39 PM »
Quote from: Chips on October 30, 2021, 01:48:46 PM
Quote from: YOU JUST POSTED MALARKEY! on October 30, 2021, 01:43:21 PM
Likely McAuliffe, D+8

Did something change over the last two weeks?

Quite a bit actually. The race has tightened a lot and several recent polls have Youngkin ahead or a tie.

The last two weeks have not been good ones for McAuliffe.

Oof

Likely McAuliffe, D+6
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hyouzel the predictor
hyouzel
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2021, 01:58:37 PM »
Gov: 50.8-48.5-0.7 McAuliffe
Lt. Gov: 52.1-47.9 Ayala
AG: 51.3-48.7 Herring

VA House: 50-50 Dems (flips: 28, 75, 85, 10, 83)
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DS0816
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2021, 05:39:06 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 30, 2021, 01:09:17 PM
New poll since opinions on this race have shifted and I for some reason didn't allow the option to change your vote in the old thread.

Republican pickup with a margin under a full percentage point. (It will take time to project.)

It will become the Republicans drawing first blood. (Really, the voting electorate.)
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SN2903
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2021, 07:26:14 AM »
Tilt R
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2021, 08:01:17 AM »
Somehow at least some Democrats survive. Maybe it’s a D sweep.
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Spectator
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2021, 11:37:54 AM »
Safe McAuliffe by 1
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THG
TheTarHeelGent
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2021, 03:13:17 PM »
Tilt/Lean Youngkin.
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S019
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2021, 03:53:23 PM »
« Edited: October 31, 2021, 03:58:57 PM by S019 »
Lean/Likely D, margin will be close-ish, but people are really underestimating how hard it is going to be for Youngkin to get over the finish line.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2021, 03:57:12 PM »
« Edited: October 31, 2021, 06:50:59 PM by Don Fabrizio Corbčra »
McAuliffe by 8  6.3  2.9
Lean
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Politics Fan
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2021, 04:04:36 PM »
Tilt T-MAC for now. May revise this tomorrow based on last minute polls. For now I suspect T-MAC wins by 1.5 to 2% while Dems win the other two state wide races by roughly 3%.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2021, 05:01:53 PM »
Tilt T-Mac. Low single digit victory though.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2021, 09:58:56 PM »
Excellent Mod Admin---

100% Favorability ratings from my perspective.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2021, 10:09:22 PM »
Right now I say Terry takes it by the skin of his teeth, just based on the state's partisanship. But it's a true coin flip, and I would not be surprised if Glenn pulls it out.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2021, 10:54:09 PM »
Large shift.





Over 30% believe Youngkin will win, 6% did so two weeks ago.

Over 70% now believe McAuliffe does not have a sizable advantage. About 20% thought so two weeks ago.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2021, 10:56:23 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 31, 2021, 10:54:09 PM
Large shift.





Over 30% believe Youngkin will win, 6% did so two weeks ago.

Over 70% now believe McAuliffe does not have a sizable advantage. About 20% thought so two weeks ago.

Just pointing out that you're at 19999 posts. Make your next one something great.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2021, 10:57:26 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 31, 2021, 10:56:23 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 31, 2021, 10:54:09 PM
Large shift.





Over 30% believe Youngkin will win, 6% did so two weeks ago.

Over 70% now believe McAuliffe does not have a sizable advantage. About 20% thought so two weeks ago.

Just pointing out that you're at 19999 posts. Make your next one something great.

No
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2021, 10:59:31 PM »
imagine being 10 points off on the CA recall and then asserting that someone else's predictions will be wrong.
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illuminativampire
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2021, 01:56:40 AM »
Toss up, gun to my head Youngkin wins. CA recall might have looked competitive, but in the final days momentum was clearly on No's side. That's not the case here.
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Fetterman my beloved
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2021, 09:33:05 AM »
Tilt McAuliffe D+1
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