VA-Suffolk/USA Today: Tie

[wbrocks67]

McAuliffe (D) 46%
Youngkin (R) 45%
Blanding (L) 2%

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/10/26/virginia-governors-race-mcauliffe-youngkin-dead-heat-poll-shows/6172824001/?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot

The herding has truly begun.

Others:

Hala Ayala (D) 46%
Winsome Sears (R) 44%

Mark Herring (D) 48%
Jason Miyaras (R) 45%

Northam approval: 48/43 (+5)

[wbrocks67]

This also has Biden's approval at 41/52 in VA, which, if McAuliffe is truly outperforming Biden with a tie despite Biden's approval being -11, that's truly impressive. But I highly doubt that Biden's approval is -11, which would be 4% above his national approval, despite VA being ~6% to the left of the country.

[wbrocks67]

What do you know, another tie? What subsample do you have now to pick out and debunk this poll?

Dude you are way too obsessed with me, just stop.

[wbrocks67]

Data for unskewing

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2021/10_26_2021_tables.pdf

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2021/10_26_2021_marginals.pdf

I know you're trolling but Youngkin is actually beating McAuliffe in 18-35 year olds, so that's something

[wbrocks67]

What do you know, another tie? What subsample do you have now to pick out and debunk this poll?

Dude you are way too obsessed with me, just stop.

Yes, I'm obsessed. You didn't have to respond you already posted an example of what I was talking about before I even posted.

You must've missed the sarcasm. Go out and get some fresh air.

[wbrocks67]

Ayala’s fav is actually 37/21 and Sears is 28/18.

Ayala has had the best favs of the entire race I've noticed.

[wbrocks67]

Of note as well is that while Biden's approval here is -11, his personal favorability is only -5. While some may disapprove of what's going on in Washington, there is still a good chunk that likes him personally, which means him showing up for T-Mac isn't as much of a liability as some would like to think.