GOP: Increase WWC support to Southern white levels, plus increase working class Black & Latino support. Even if some wealthy suburbanites leave the party, it would lock the South and flip the Sunbelt back to near W Bush levels which would be effective. Going populist on economics, calling for reconciliation on racial issues, and going isolationist can make this successful.
Dark symbolizes likely/safe states
Light represents tossups
Swing states = Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, New Mexico, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and ME-(At. lg).
Dems: Keep Biden's 2020 coalition, add the support of white collar suburbanites, as well as ruralites with a touch of Jeffersonian agrarianism. Moving left on economics but remaining capitalistic, favoring free trade, and ignoring some of the more pressing/controversial social issues could make this coalition possible.
Dems could get over 400 E.V. if they court enough of the rural vote. It's unlikely some of the swing states would flip back, but if they work hard enough it's possible. It might seem crazy but Obama nearly won most of these swing states and the swing state margin of victory I put for these swing states is <10, so it doesn't mean all of these states would be within striking distance.
Light = Tossup/Swing states
Dark = Likely/Safe states
Swing states = Arizona, Nevada, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, ME-2, NE (At. lg) & NE-1.
