Predict the remaining house retirements of 2022.

[Tekken_Guy]

Who will be the remaining retirements in the house for 2022?

[NewYorkExpress]

Nancy Pelosi (she's said she's not going to be the Democrat's floor leader after 2022, my guess  is she announces a retirement just before the filing deadline in California), one of Clyburn/Hoyer (but not both), possibly Kevin McCarthy if he realizes he won't have the votes to become Speaker when Republicans take back the House after the midterms.

[Mr.Phips]

Tom Ohalleran if AZ-01 becomes redder.  Same with Jim Cooper and Emanuel Cleaver if their districts get cracked.  Maybe Bill Pascrell and Rosa DeLaura. Marcy Kaptur if her district picks up a bunch of Western Ohio.

[Tekken_Guy]

Tom Ohalleran if AZ-01 becomes redder.  Same with Jim Cooper and Emanuel Cleaver if their districts get cracked.  Maybe Bill Pascrell and Rosa DeLaura. Marcy Kaptur if her district picks up a bunch of Western Ohio.

How about on the Republican side? Who will retire for concerns unrelated to redistricting?

[Thank you for being a friend...]

At least five more longtime serving Democrats because they ain't getting into the majority again until at least 2026.

[Horus]

Eddie Bernie Johnson and Jan Schakowsky, also one of Pascrell or Pallone

[ChineseConservative]

Tom Ohalleran if AZ-01 becomes redder.  Same with Jim Cooper and Emanuel Cleaver if their districts get cracked.  Maybe Bill Pascrell and Rosa DeLaura. Marcy Kaptur if her district picks up a bunch of Western Ohio.

How about on the Republican side? Who will retire for concerns unrelated to redistricting?

Chris Smith + Trump impeachment voters

[Calthrina950]

Tom Ohalleran if AZ-01 becomes redder.  Same with Jim Cooper and Emanuel Cleaver if their districts get cracked.  Maybe Bill Pascrell and Rosa DeLaura. Marcy Kaptur if her district picks up a bunch of Western Ohio.

How about on the Republican side? Who will retire for concerns unrelated to redistricting?

Chris Smith + Trump impeachment voters

Certainly not Chris Smith. He is aspiring to become the next Dean of the House. But I do agree that some of the other Republicans who voted to impeach Trump may retire. I also believe we will have at least a few more long-serving members, from both parties, announcing their retirements as well.

[Vespucci]

At least five more longtime serving Democrats because they ain't getting into the majority again until at least 2026.

If there’s no red wave, it’s not out of the question that the House could flip back with a strong Biden re-election.

The Senate, on the other hand…

[Mr.Phips]

At least five more longtime serving Democrats because they ain't getting into the majority again until at least 2026.

If there’s no red wave, it’s not out of the question that the House could flip back with a strong Biden re-election.

The Senate, on the other hand…

What is your definition of a red wave?

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Hot take- Andy Barr, due to his wife's passing and wanting to be there for his children

[Vespucci]

At least five more longtime serving Democrats because they ain't getting into the majority again until at least 2026.

If there’s no red wave, it’s not out of the question that the House could flip back with a strong Biden re-election.

The Senate, on the other hand…

What is your definition of a red wave?

The GOP gaining 20+ seats or so, which would make Democrats unlikely to gain back the House in 2024

[Mr.Phips]

At least five more longtime serving Democrats because they ain't getting into the majority again until at least 2026.

If there’s no red wave, it’s not out of the question that the House could flip back with a strong Biden re-election.

The Senate, on the other hand…

What is your definition of a red wave?

The GOP gaining 20+ seats or so, which would make Democrats unlikely to gain back the House in 2024

I can agree with that. 

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Nancy Pelosi (she's said she's not going to be the Democrat's floor leader after 2022, my guess  is she announces a retirement just before the filing deadline in California), one of Clyburn/Hoyer (but not both), possibly Kevin McCarthy if he realizes he won't have the votes to become Speaker when Republicans take back the House after the midterms.

Clyburn already said “hell yes” he’s running for re-election

[MarkD]

I think Bobby Rush is a good candidate for retirement; an even 30 years in the House seems like a good time to leave, and four other candidates have already announced they want to run for the 1st district.

On the Republican side, Fred Upton is in his 35th year, so now would seem like a good time to retire, and like Calthrina said, more Impeachment Republicans are likely to retire; Upton's brand of moderate Republicanism and his impeachment vote make him a RINO in many primary voters' eyes -- too many.

[Del Tachi]

Abbie Spanberger may not have a district left to run in

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I think Bobby Rush is a good candidate for retirement; an even 30 years in the House seems like a good time to leave, and four other candidates have already announced they want to run for the 1st district.

On the Republican side, Fred Upton is in his 35th year, so now would seem like a good time to retire, and like Calthrina said, more Impeachment Republicans are likely to retire; Upton's brand of moderate Republicanism and his impeachment vote make him a RINO in many primary voters' eyes -- too many.

Rush might have an inflated ego from being the only guy to have ever beaten obama

[ElectionsGuy]

Abbie Spanberger may not have a district left to run in

That's hilarious because even her current district is very likely going Republican if it remains the same with an R-leaning national environment.

[Vespucci]

I think Kinzinger will retire. He might run for governor though (he'd lose though, Pritzker is pretty popular AFAIK)

[Gracile]

Matt Cartwright seems like an underrated possibility, given the retirements of senior members Bustos and Kind in similar turf. Redistricting would almost certainly make his district more Republican, and it's possible he will just choose not to run in that case.