Trafalgar: youngkin +1

[Hammy]

Trafalgar has had success with their polls in the sense that they've been pretty accurate with the GOP percentages, while everybody else had them 5-10 points lower than reality. That said, they've done the opposite, and underestimated Dems by several points, resulting in them being off by quite a bit in the final margin.

They performed well in some Rust Belt states (outside of Ohio, where they notably had a large D bias) and Florida, but quite a few other places they've actually been one of the bottom tier pollsters.