https://mobile.twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1448775212913381379
Seems very reasonable
It’s not too far off from the cbs poll.
Ultimately, youngkin is running a fine campaign. The problem is the state is just so blue at this point and also, critically, enough voters still care strongly about covid and they favor mcauliffe.
I’m of the opinion that once covid fades as an issue, it will actually be a wash politically. Dems might get credit for ending it, but, paradoxically, voters will then stop gravitating towards the candidate they feel is stronger on measures and restrictions
Youngkins favorability ratings are +3. That’s not bad at all. A decent slice of mcauliffe voters like the man
They just think if they vote for him, they are voting for trump.
Why do people say that Virginia is so blue it cannot elect a Republican Governor when Republicans have won 6 of the last 8 gubernatorial elections in Massachusetts?
It probably won't happen this year, but I think it's possible under the right circumstances. Though just about
everything would have to go right for the GOP, and the victory would probably be narrow. A 17-point victory like they got in 2009 is definitely out of the question.
