Why do people say that Virginia is so blue it cannot elect a Republican Governor when Republicans have won 6 of the last 8 gubernatorial elections in Massachusetts?
Youngkin struggling this much to even match Trump 2016 in a non-federal race also flies in the face of the notion that Maggie Hassan is the most vulnerable D Senator in 2022 — with partisanship and PVI ruling the day, it’s really hard to argue that the Democratic Senator from the Biden +7 state is somehow more vulnerable than the Democratic Senators from the Biden +<0.5 and Biden +2 states.
I think you need to take into account that T-Mac is actually a good candidate as a popular former governor. I mean just look at this poll - his favorables are 52/44 compared to Biden's 50/48. Why does your analysis fail to take into account that T-mac is popular?
