A redux of 2017 with a 9% TMac win really shouldn't be ruled out. But it can still be inconclusive for 2022, it's just that polarization works for the blue team in this state like it does for the red team in Ohio.
True, but I think a 2017 redux would be demoralizing because
A) we have a (somewhat) unpopular dem president in office with middling approvals in VA
B) the gop nominee isn’t low quality at all and has managed to put together relatively decent favorability ratings
Oddly, the Ossoff loss sounds a bit like that, losing by 4% in a Trump +1.5% district didn't look great. However, that turned out to be just a case of down-ballot trends not catching up with presidential trends. VA if it did turn out to be an anomaly would either just be random or the opposite, of trends being too strong.
