CBS-VA- Tmac +3 (user search)
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Author Topic: CBS-VA- Tmac +3  (Read 1218 times)
Devils30
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Posts: 4,990
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Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00
« on: October 12, 2021, 05:48:22 PM »
Quote from: Matty on October 12, 2021, 04:23:07 PM


The poll shows very little crossover from 2020 and TMac up 8 with a higher turnout model. After what happened in CA and what's been happening in suburbs you wonder if 2017 2.0 is a distinct possibility.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2021, 08:38:07 PM »
Dems coalition is more apt to turn out than the 2009 version and it's not even close. TMac will get numbers out of NoVA, Henrico, SE VA that should make it impossible for Youngkin.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2021, 09:39:12 PM »
Rs getting a larger than expected loss here shouldn’t even panic them. It’s the flip side of polarization.

But something tells me the Ds with suburban strength could be better than expected in House while Rs might have a solid Senate night. Could even see Ds holding House, winning only PA in Senate while WI NC remain R. A 51-49 D Senate would easily flip in 2024.
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