This has a Biden +2 LV sample, which makes me think that once again, like CA, pollsters are really screwing up their LV model.
It also shows Biden -4 among LVs which seems lower than where it should be. Given the ~8 pt swing right now, Biden should be at about +2 in VA give or take, more like Fox's 50/49 poll.
The California result was a 6 point shift from Biden’s margin, so this is in line with that.
Wasn’t it what Newsom got in 2018? But yeah. If with the worst electorate, Biden would be at 48-49%, it makes since that we get a 2013-like result.
Youngkin is considerably better at this than Elder, though. I would expect more of a swing away from Biden in VA.
BTW I really wish more polls would include the row offices and the HoD generic ballot. If this is the result, it likely means an HoD flip and a Sears win for LG.
