CBS-VA- Tmac +3 (user search)
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April 27, 2024, 08:22:51 AM
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Author Topic: CBS-VA- Tmac +3  (Read 1214 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: October 12, 2021, 06:00:35 PM »

This has a Biden +2 LV sample, which makes me think that once again, like CA, pollsters are really screwing up their LV model.

It also shows Biden -4 among LVs which seems lower than where it should be. Given the ~8 pt swing right now, Biden should be at about +2 in VA give or take, more like Fox's 50/49 poll.

The California result was a 6 point shift from Biden’s margin, so this is in line with that.

Wasn’t it what Newsom got in 2018? But yeah. If with the worst electorate, Biden would be at 48-49%, it makes since that we get a 2013-like result.
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