This has a Biden +2 LV sample, which makes me think that once again, like CA, pollsters are really screwing up their LV model.
It also shows Biden -4 among LVs which seems lower than where it should be. Given the ~8 pt swing right now, Biden should be at about +2 in VA give or take, more like Fox's 50/49 poll.
The California result was a 6 point shift from Biden’s margin, so this is in line with that.
Not an apples to apples comparison, bc you could also say there that Newsom exactly replicated his 2018 margin, so therefore McAuliffe would replicate his 2017 margin.
The CA result was a 5pt shift btw, 29 to 24.
