CBS-VA- Tmac +3 (user search)
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Author Topic: CBS-VA- Tmac +3  (Read 1220 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« on: October 12, 2021, 04:23:07 PM »
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2021, 05:56:17 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 12, 2021, 05:52:39 PM
This has a Biden +2 LV sample, which makes me think that once again, like CA, pollsters are really screwing up their LV model.

It also shows Biden -4 among LVs which seems lower than where it should be. Given the ~8 pt swing right now, Biden should be at about +2 in VA give or take, more like Fox's 50/49 poll.

The California result was a 6 point shift from Biden’s margin, so this is in line with that.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,961
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2021, 08:40:02 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on October 12, 2021, 08:38:07 PM
Dems coalition is more apt to turn out than the 2009 version and it's not even close. TMac will get numbers out of NoVA, Henrico, SE VA that should make it impossible for Youngkin.

Yea bush’s ussr-like margins with college whites in early 2000s saved him in 2006
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