Rate GA-SEN with this matchup (user search)
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  Rate GA-SEN with this matchup (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rate GA-SEN with this matchup  (Read 759 times)
Horus
Sheliak5
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Posts: 11,795
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« on: October 12, 2021, 02:21:23 PM »

Black men are unequivocally shifting towards the GOP, but the trend is likely to be more muted here in GA for two reasons, 1. Black men here are more likely to be college educated/UMC and 2. Black men here are more likely to be gay or bisexual. Between that and the constant migration from northern center leftists, I think Warnock narrowly holds on unless it's a 2010 style wave.

The Dems problem with Black men is much more alarming for their chances in the rust belt. A very narrow shift away from them could put Wisconsin and Michigan out of play for some time.
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