MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,283
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« on: October 12, 2021, 01:24:14 PM » |
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Walker has a path, but (a) he has to avoid a ruonff, (b) his path involves activating a low-propensity, less 'political', largely non-college-educated, usually more D-leaning base of (predominantly male) voters more so than converting ex-GOP suburbanites, and (c) he’ll need a very favorable environment in which Republicans have already won AZ and NV and their prospects are no worse than 50/50 (assuming one of Sununu/Ayotte runs) in NH.
It can be done (race will certainly be close) but if he wins, it will be a fairly bad night for Democrats.
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