Have Ron DeSantis’s chances gone up or down since earlier this year

[Tekken_Guy]

Have Ron DeSantis’s chances of winning in 2024 have gone up or down?

[Pericles]

Decreased, because it looks more likely that Trump will run again and Republican dissent to him has proved weak.

[Mr. Morden]

Yes, his chances have gone both up and down since earlier this year, depending on what portion of "earlier this year" you're talking about.

I think his chances are probably lower now than any other point since the CPAC straw poll, as it now looks more likely than it did earlier that Trump is going to run again.

However, his chances are higher than they were on, say, Jan. 1st, when DeSantis hadn't yet distinguished himself as the leading non-Trump candidate for the GOP nomination.

[President Johnson]

No change. Depends on what Trump does or is able to do.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Decreased and state trends are less Partisan than in Midterms in Prez Elections WI, PA and MI gives us 268 votes and VA, AZ, and GA gives us 270, not the other way around. You can have Steele or Craig win and we can win AZ, KS and FL, Whitmer is losing and Laura Kelly is winning and Tim Ryan can win, he looks like Beshear and Beshear won in a midterm, Red KY

DeSantis or Rubio arent guarenteed REELECTION, Rubio is four ahead of Demings is and Rubio isn't gonna underperform that much, Crist is a great debator

[Senator-elect Spark]

Decreased, because it looks more likely that Trump will run again and Republican dissent to him has proved weak.

This. Trump has totally frozen the field and he still has a towering influence over the GOP despite his past conduct.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are people so obsessed with Ron DeSabtis he got a bump from Surfside but he is a Republican and Trump owns the Republican party

[Progressive Pessimist]

It doesn't matter because his landslide re-election next year will cause it to increase...only for it to decrease again when Trump finally announces his run.

It would actually be pretty great if Trump drags his feet to announce just to bait DeSantis into starting his campaign and then completely stealing his thunder. I hate Trump, obviously, but sometimes his passive-aggressive tendencies can be entertaining when they disadvantage similarly despicable people within his own party.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Decreased, because it looks more likely that Trump will run again and Republican dissent to him has proved weak.

This. Trump has totally frozen the field and he still has a towering influence over the GOP despite his past conduct.

I think it’s *because* of his past conduct. If it’s despite anything it’s the fact that he lost.

[SnowLabrador]

Decreased, because it looks more likely that Trump will run again and Republican dissent to him has proved weak.

This.

[ShadowRocket]

Decreased. He still seems to be in the best position to win the nomination if Trump doesn't run again, but the odds of Trump running again seemed to have gone up.

[Big Abraham]

They've gone up. Maybe not by much, but they've gone up. Trump is still the favorite, though.

[David Hume]

Decreased. He still seems to be in the best position to win the nomination if Trump doesn't run again, but the odds of Trump running again seemed to have gone up.

If we compare to Jan, at that time even if Trump won't run, he is not a clear favourite. But right now if Trump doesn't run, he will win the nominate. So I would say his chance still increases.

It's still three years away and Trump may be badly ill or die or not able to run for some other reasons.

[Leroy McPherson fan]

Decreased bc Trump is running and winning again.

[SN2903]

Decreased bc Trump is running and winning again.

[retardo123]

Up. DeSantis is basically Trump Lite and he increased his popularity with Republicans by a lot with the anti-mandate talk. His approval ratings aren't that bad either.

[Ferguson97]

Decreased bc Trump is running and winning again.

Agreed, Trump will win the Republican nomination and be defeated by President Biden for a second time.

[DPKdebator]

Decreased since Trump running again is more likely than it was at the start of the year.

[Bismarck]

Not changed. If Trump doesn’t run and barring a major scandal or something Desantis will be the GOP nominee.

[TPIG]

Not changed. If Trump doesn’t run and barring a major scandal or something Desantis will be the GOP nominee.

That's a big if, and given that appetite for a Trump run has certainly increased since February or March, Destantis' chances have definitely gone down.

[Mr. Morden]

Not changed. If Trump doesn’t run and barring a major scandal or something Desantis will be the GOP nominee.

That's a big if, and given that appetite for a Trump run has certainly increased since February or March, Destantis' chances have definitely gone down.

Since Feb. or March, yes.  But since Jan. 1st?  I'd still say DeSantis's chances are higher now than they were then, since at that point, DeSantis was just one of the field, as opposed to the leading non-Trump possibility, which is where he's at now.

[TPIG]

Not changed. If Trump doesn’t run and barring a major scandal or something Desantis will be the GOP nominee.

That's a big if, and given that appetite for a Trump run has certainly increased since February or March, Destantis' chances have definitely gone down.

Since Feb. or March, yes.  But since Jan. 1st?  I'd still say DeSantis's chances are higher now than they were then, since at that point, DeSantis was just one of the field, as opposed to the leading non-Trump possibility, which is where he's at now.

Yeah, I suppose that's fair. As you said in an earlier reply, just a matter of qualifying what "earlier this year" means.

[Redban]

The riot controversy has kinda cooled off, and Biden’s approval ratings are low. Now, people feel a little more receptive to Trump 2024. DeSantis has kinda faded off in consequence

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't losing the only chance RS have is Harris, and DeSantis and Rubio, when Biden polls go up in 2022 after Covid disappears, we can still beat him it's the 55th seat after OH, MO

[MABA 2020]

Decreased, since Trump is probably going to run