I'd vote for Biden and I assume he wins too.
Like Goldwater, The Northeast rapidly moves away from The GOP but not to the extent of Goldwater '64. Besides The Northeast, Biden does the strongest across ancestrally Catholic areas, the Democratic stronghold of West Virginia, and farming areas hit hard by the farming crisis, including the normally Republican stronghold of South Dakota. I'm writing this with the exception that Trump runs similarly to how he did in 2016 besides being tough on Japan instead of China and Biden is running as a strong advocate for labor and natural heir to JFK.
Jesse Jackson would probably take more votes from Biden, but he could win over some potential Trump voters as well. With Jesse on the ticket, Trump wins NH, SD, MT, IL and CA, to win a landslide of
334/204, while winning the P.V. as well.
Trump does the strongest in conservative areas of the West, throughout the South and industrial areas of The Rust Belt.
Homestate stats:
New York home of Donald Trump:
64/34 Biden winDelaware home of Joe Biden:
53/45 Biden winNorth Carolina home of Elizabeth Dole:
51/47 Trump winTennesee home of Al Gore:
52/46 Trump winStrongest state/district
(Biden): DC 87/10 BidenStrongest Biden state:
Rhode Island 68/30 BidenStrongest Trump state:
Utah 59/39 TrumpClosest Biden state win:
New Hampshire Biden .18%Closest Trump state win:
Missouri 0.02% TrumpJoe Biden: 49.83%/286 E.V.Donald Trump: 49.05% P.V./252 E.V.