1988: Donald Trump - Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Joe Biden - Al Gore (D)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  1988: Donald Trump - Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Joe Biden - Al Gore (D)
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Poll
Question: Who do you vote for/who wins?
#1
Vote Trump-Dole, Trump-Dole wins
 
#2
Vote Trump-Dole, Biden-Gore wins
 
#3
Vote Biden-Gore, Trump-Dole wins
 
#4
Vote Biden-Gore, Biden-Gore wins
 
#5
Vote other, Trump-Dole wins
 
#6
Vote other, Biden-Gore wins
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 12

Author Topic: 1988: Donald Trump - Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Joe Biden - Al Gore (D)  (Read 606 times)
BG-NY
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« on: October 09, 2021, 08:34:07 PM »

Discuss with maps. Your vote is without hindsight, but how they would run their campaigns can be informed by how they ran their presidential campaigns later in life.

Bonus - how does the map change if Jesse Jackson - Bernie Sanders runs as independent?
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CEO Mindset
penttilinkolafan
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2021, 08:37:28 PM »

biden wins but loses to trump in 92

both parties very different in 2021 in the atl
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dw93
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2021, 08:44:44 PM »

I'd vote for Biden and lean toward him winning. Trump, IIRC, fancied himself as  a Rockefeller Republican at that time, so I doubt the Republican base would turn out for him in large numbers.
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Vice President Christian Man
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2021, 09:08:08 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2021, 11:39:37 PM by Old School Democrat »

I'd vote for Biden and I assume he wins too.



Like Goldwater, The Northeast rapidly moves away from The GOP but not to the extent of Goldwater '64. Besides The Northeast, Biden does the strongest across ancestrally Catholic areas, the Democratic stronghold of West Virginia, and farming areas hit hard by the farming crisis, including the normally Republican stronghold of South Dakota. I'm writing this with the exception that Trump runs similarly to how he did in 2016 besides being tough on Japan instead of China and Biden is running as a strong advocate for labor and natural heir to JFK.

Jesse Jackson would probably take more votes from Biden, but he could win over some potential Trump voters as well. With Jesse on the ticket, Trump wins NH, SD, MT, IL and CA, to win a landslide of 334/204, while winning the P.V. as well.

Trump does the strongest in conservative areas of the West, throughout the South and industrial areas of The Rust Belt.

Homestate stats:

New York home of Donald Trump: 64/34 Biden win
Delaware home of Joe Biden:53/45 Biden win
North Carolina home of Elizabeth Dole: 51/47 Trump win
Tennesee home of Al Gore: 52/46 Trump win

Strongest state/district (Biden): DC 87/10 Biden
Strongest Biden state: Rhode Island 68/30 Biden
Strongest Trump state: Utah 59/39 Trump
Closest Biden state win: New Hampshire Biden .18%
Closest Trump state win: Missouri 0.02% Trump

Joe Biden: 49.83%/286 E.V.
Donald Trump: 49.05% P.V./252 E.V.
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Leroy McPherson fan
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2021, 09:31:23 PM »

Trump would win.
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