VA-GOV (Wason): McAuliffe +4 (user search)
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  VA-GOV (Wason): McAuliffe +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV (Wason): McAuliffe +4  (Read 1861 times)
Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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Posts: 12,187
United States


« on: October 08, 2021, 10:45:46 PM »

My prediction is McAuliffe +2. There is probably about a 25% chance Youngkin wins.
No. There is a 100% chance Youngkin wins.

Both of you are trolling, though I think SnowLabrador's is unintentional, whereas Leroy McPherson fan's is purposeful and he realizes he's trolling.

I know my current prediction will raise an eyebrow or two, but it's Virginia, which broke for Biden by much more than 4 points...I'm currently going with McAuliffe+7.2, though this may change as the election draws nearer.
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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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*****
Posts: 12,187
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2021, 10:48:26 PM »

Yeah this one is over, I changed my username recently, but the message remains the same, Clinton/Northam/Kaine/Biden/Warner voters for Republicans, including one who has veered as far to the right as Glenn Youngkin are not going to win a race like this, which has been greatly nationalized, to the benefit of T-Mac, of course. My prior is Democrats need to win by at least 5 or 6 to feel good about themselves, a narrow win is a sign of a 2014 style wave building, a loss would be a sign of a disastrous wave building where the Democrats could lose 40-45 seats come 2022.

Agree with this, though your new (old, in some ways, but I wasn't around the forum then) username and avatar feel weird.
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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,187
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2021, 10:48:53 PM »

My prediction is McAuliffe +2. There is probably about a 25% chance Youngkin wins.
No. There is a 100% chance Youngkin wins.

Both of you are trolling, though I think SnowLabrador's is unintentional, whereas Leroy McPherson fan's is purposeful and he realizes he's trolling.

I know my current prediction will raise an eyebrow or two, but it's Virginia, which broke for Biden by much more than 4 points...I'm currently going with McAuliffe+7.2, though this may change as the election draws nearer.
I’m not trolling. Just exaggerating a bit.

So you genuinely believe Youngkin is favoured?
Logged
Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,187
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2021, 10:52:28 PM »

My prediction is McAuliffe +2. There is probably about a 25% chance Youngkin wins.
No. There is a 100% chance Youngkin wins.

Both of you are trolling, though I think SnowLabrador's is unintentional, whereas Leroy McPherson fan's is purposeful and he realizes he's trolling.

I know my current prediction will raise an eyebrow or two, but it's Virginia, which broke for Biden by much more than 4 points...I'm currently going with McAuliffe+7.2, though this may change as the election draws nearer.
I’m not trolling. Just exaggerating a bit.

So you genuinely believe Youngkin is favoured?
Yes. I agree with the Saagar Enjeti rule to always add at least 6% to the Republican.

You have got to be kidding.
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