VA-GOV (Wason): McAuliffe +4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah this one is over, I changed my username recently, but the message remains the same, Clinton/Northam/Kaine/Biden/Warner voters for Republicans, including one who has veered as far to the right as Glenn Youngkin are not going to win a race like this, which has been greatly nationalized, to the benefit of T-Mac, of course. My prior is Democrats need to win by at least 5 or 6 to feel good about themselves, a narrow win is a sign of a 2014 style wave building, a loss would be a sign of a disastrous wave building where the Democrats could lose 40-45 seats come 2022.

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It's not over it's well within margin of error

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah this one is over, I changed my username recently, but the message remains the same, Clinton/Northam/Kaine/Biden/Warner voters for Republicans, including one who has veered as far to the right as Glenn Youngkin are not going to win a race like this, which has been greatly nationalized, to the benefit of T-Mac, of course. My prior is Democrats need to win by at least 5 or 6 to feel good about themselves, a narrow win is a sign of a 2014 style wave building, a loss would be a sign of a disastrous wave building where the Democrats could lose 40-45 seats come 2022.

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It's not over it's well within margin of error

Yes and? In 2017, the polling error favored VA Democrats.

It's not over and VBM is gonna favor D's and sane day voting favors Rs remember 2014/ Warner had a 15 pt lead in another Midterm and he won by the same margin as T Macvis up now, against Ed Gillespie 4 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

S019 thinks DeSantis is gonna lose and he's telling me that Youngkin can't win it's, McAuliffe is Fav but it's not over til Fat lady sings and all the votes are counted


DeSantis is gonna win by 10 prs

Crist winning is laughable with Biden at 42% Natl Approvals in FL go ahead and donate to Crist and Val they're gonna lose with Biden at 42%, Biden didn't win FL at 51% App rivals in 2020, it's a 304 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just to note, D's don't need VA to win the EC college it doesn't have a Senate race 2022/ neither does GA in 2024, but AZ 11 can supplement VA 13, votes and it becomes the 277 Blue Wall with WI not the 304 blue wall and Tim Kaine will have a Tough race in 2024/ it won't be easy

AZ, GA, WI and VA will get D's over 270 not only VA