OK-Gov 2022: Dream the Impossible Dream?

[Skunk]

Incumbent Superintendent of Public Instruction Joy Hofmeister is set to announce a gubernatorial run against Kevin Stitt as a Democrat in 2022. Her party switch means she will be the first Democratic statewide elected official representing Oklahoma since 2011. She has no chance of winning and ultimately her switching parties will be nothing but a historical footnote but still, we officially have more Democrats representing us statewide than Texas now!

https://twitter.com/Blake_Allen13/status/1445936292177616900

[Leroy McPherson fan]

Bad news for Connie
https://mobile.twitter.com/GovConnie/status/1440441725504278538

[Coldstream]

Incumbent Superintendent of Public Instruction Joy Hofmeister is set to announce a gubernatorial run against Kevin Stitt as a Democrat in 2022. Her party switch means she will be the first Democratic statewide elected official representing Oklahoma since 2011. She has no chance of winning and ultimately her switching parties will be nothing but a historical footnote but still, we officially have more Democrats representing us statewide than Texas now!

https://twitter.com/Blake_Allen13/status/1445936292177616900

Any ideas why she’s done this? (Switched parties) was she facing a primary defeat?

[Leroy McPherson fan]

Incumbent Superintendent of Public Instruction Joy Hofmeister is set to announce a gubernatorial run against Kevin Stitt as a Democrat in 2022. Her party switch means she will be the first Democratic statewide elected official representing Oklahoma since 2011. She has no chance of winning and ultimately her switching parties will be nothing but a historical footnote but still, we officially have more Democrats representing us statewide than Texas now!

https://twitter.com/Blake_Allen13/status/1445936292177616900

Any ideas why she’s done this? (Switched parties) was she facing a primary defeat?

She faced a tough primary challenge in 2018, only winning the runoff 56.7-43.3

Interestingly though, back in 2014 she won a three way primary outright with 57% avoiding a runoff with the incumbent Janet Barressi coming in third.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/joy4ok/status/1446088565088194562?s=21

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/joy4ok/status/1446088565088194562?s=21

Great ad. Unfortunately, she has no chance.

[Progressive Pessimist]

This is political suicide, what is she thinking? Only Democrats turned Republican can get away with this.

[BigSerg]

hahahahahaha poor fool

[neostassenite31]

Maybe she wants to become a regular guest on cable TV or get some other higher paying job in the news media business after giving herself a higher profile. I seriously doubt that she actually thinks she has a chance at unseating Stitt in any case

[NewYorkExpress]

If this race doesn't become nationalized and if Sitt's approval ratings take a dramatic tumble, I can see Hofmeister pulling off the upset, even in an R wave.

Still Safe R for the moment, though.

[MT Treasurer]

If Cook Political Report was rating Superintendent of Public Instruction races and Hofmeister was eligible for another term for that office (and had no interest in a GOV race), they would be rating that one a Tossup.

"Incumbents are tough to beat"

[WD]

If Cook Political Report was rating Superintendent of Public Instruction races and Hofmeister was eligible for another term for that office (and had no interest in a GOV race), they would be rating that one a Tossup.

"Incumbents are tough to beat"

Honestly, they would probably start it at Lean D and move it to a tossup if they judged the Republican to be a “strong candidate”.

[MT Treasurer]

If Cook Political Report was rating Superintendent of Public Instruction races and Hofmeister was eligible for another term for that office (and had no interest in a GOV race), they would be rating that one a Tossup.

"Incumbents are tough to beat"

Honestly, they would probably start it at Lean D and move it to a tossup if they judged the Republican to be a “strong candidate”.

Needed strong candidates Tommy Tuberville and John Hickenlooper to flip those 2020 Senate Toss-ups.

https://www.alreporter.com/2019/12/24/cook-political-report-rates-alabama-senate-race-a-toss-up/

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/majority-play

[DS0816]

This says more about what has become of the Democratic Party than the election race this topic addresses.

[walleye26]

My question is this: can she win at least 3 counties when she runs? Edmundson won 4.

I would say she wins Oklahoma, probably/maybe wins Cleveland, and maybe another county like Tulsa, Cherokee, Muskogee, etc.

Also will be interesting to see the margins in Canadian.

[amateur_psepho]

doubt she outperforms edmundson. was certainly political suicide for her though, wonder what the motivation was

[Leroy McPherson fan]

My question is this: can she win at least 3 counties when she runs? Edmundson won 4.

I would say she wins Oklahoma, probably/maybe wins Cleveland, and maybe another county like Tulsa, Cherokee, Muskogee, etc.

Also will be interesting to see the margins in Canadian.

She won’t win Stitt’s home county of Tulsa.

[Skunk]

My question is this: can she win at least 3 counties when she runs? Edmundson won 4.

I would say she wins Oklahoma, probably/maybe wins Cleveland, and maybe another county like Tulsa, Cherokee, Muskogee, etc.

Also will be interesting to see the margins in Canadian.

She won’t win Stitt’s home county of Tulsa.

Well, it's her home county too, so if Stitt wins Tulsa (which he almost certainly will) it won't be because of any "home county advantage" it'll be because the suburbs of Tulsa are incredibly conservative.

[VPH]

It's ironic that the Democratic candidate against her in 2014 and 2018 (John Cox) has now switched to the Republican Party to once again run for State Superintendent. His platform is pretty much the same, but my guess is he figured he'd have a better shot as a Republican.

[Progressive Pessimist]

It's ironic that the Democratic candidate against her in 2014 and 2018 (John Cox) has now switched to the Republican Party to once again run for State Superintendent. His platform is pretty much the same, but my guess is he figured he'd have a better shot as a Republican.

And that is the better calculation. It's Van Drew syndrome-it doesn't matter how much he voted, governed, or legislated like a Democrat before; as long as he gives his pound of flesh to Trump and the GOP, it's all water under the decaying, not up-to-code, bridge.

[Beebeebutt]

Looks like the state GOP’s chairman John Bennet is supporting Mark Sherwood over Kevin Stitt.

https://mobile.twitter.com/reeseg_3/status/1447951023285415938

[Not Me, Us]

Looks like the state GOP’s chairman John Bennet is supporting Mark Sherwood over Kevin Stitt.

https://mobile.twitter.com/reeseg_3/status/1447951023285415938

Literally why? Stitt has done nothing to anger the MAGA base, he’s a party-line Republican. What has he done to warrant a primary challenge?

[Suburbia]

Safe R

[NOVA Green]

Looks like the state GOP’s chairman John Bennet is supporting Mark Sherwood over Kevin Stitt.

https://mobile.twitter.com/reeseg_3/status/1447951023285415938

WTF?

Almost looks like a Rock Concert tweet for an upcoming event at a Rock N' Roll venue.

Maybe DEMs need to adopt tactics from the same playbook.

[beaver2.0]

It would be nice if we had a moderate Republican Party for people like her to join.