Brazilian presidential and general elections 2022 (1st round: October 2nd, 2nd round: October 30th)

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

What will the first policy priorities of Lula Administration 2: Love Song of Vengeance be?

[2952-0-0]

This is really pathetic. His last lunch as president was at a KFC in Orlando.

https://twitter.com/Rkrahenbuhl/status/1609291532661563392?t=wegUha6pl1-3xdO3SZg...

[Sir Mohamed]

This is really pathetic. His last lunch as president was at a KFC in Orlando.

https://twitter.com/Rkrahenbuhl/status/1609291532661563392?t=wegUha6pl1-3xdO3SZg...

"Florida man goes to KFC"

[adma]

The obvious must be said, but...small d!ck energy.

[Peeperkorn]

https://twitter.com/JoseManrique93/status/1609623439236636672?s=20

[Red Velvet]

Lula starts his 2nd day as president having SEVENTEEN meeting with international authorities who were present yesterday in his inauguration as president in Brasília.

Bolsonaro would barely work eight hours per week lmao

Lula’s agenda today:

9:30am - King Felipe VI (SPAIN)
10am - President Luis Arce (BOLIVIA)
10:30am - President Alberto Fernandez (ARGENTINA)
11am - President Guillermo Lasso (ECUADOR)
11:30am - President Gabriel Boric (CHILE)
12pm - President Marcelo Rebelo de Souza (PORTUGAL)
12:30pm - President Gustavo Petro (COLOMBIA)
13pm - President Iris Xiomara Castro (HONDURAS)
- Lunch break between 13:30 to 14:30
14:30pm - Vice-President Wang Qishan (CHINA)
15pm - President João Lourenço (ANGOLA)
15:30pm - Prime Minister Choguel Maiga (MALI)
16pm - President José Ramos-Horta (EAST TIMOR)
16:30pm - Vice-President Salvador Antonio Mesa (CUBA)
17pm - Minister Council President Luís Penaranda (PERU)
17:30pm - National Assembly President Jorge Rodrigues (VENEZUELA)

That’s the agenda released with 15 leaders, but Lula already had an unscheduled meeting with the GUINEA-BISSAU president at well. Since it’s being said the number of 17, I think there will be another non-scheduled meeting as well.

Naturally, there’s a larger presence of South American neighbors wanting to meet with Lula but it’s also cool to see Lusosphere present with Angola, Portugal, Guinea-Bissau and East Timor.

[President Johnson]

Hasn't Lula also undone several of Bolsonaro's decrees including on gun rights? This is so much reminds me of Biden's first days.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Lula starts his 2nd day as president having SEVENTEEN meeting with international authorities who were present yesterday in his inauguration as president in Brasília.

Bolsonaro would barely work eight hours per week lmao

Lula’s agenda today:

9:30am - King Felipe VI (SPAIN)
10am - President Luis Arce (BOLIVIA)
10:30am - President Alberto Fernandez (ARGENTINA)
11am - President Guillermo Lasso (ECUADOR)
11:30am - President Gabriel Boric (CHILE)
12pm - President Marcelo Rebelo de Souza (PORTUGAL)
12:30pm - President Gustavo Petro (COLOMBIA)
13pm - President Iris Xiomara Castro (HONDURAS)
- Lunch break between 13:30 to 14:30
14:30pm - Vice-President Wang Qishan (CHINA)
15pm - President João Lourenço (ANGOLA)
15:30pm - Prime Minister Choguel Maiga (MALI)
16pm - President José Ramos-Horta (EAST TIMOR)
16:30pm - Vice-President Salvador Antonio Mesa (CUBA)
17pm - Minister Council President Luís Penaranda (PERU)
17:30pm - National Assembly President Jorge Rodrigues (VENEZUELA)

That’s the agenda released with 15 leaders, but Lula already had an unscheduled meeting with the GUINEA-BISSAU president at well. Since it’s being said the number of 17, I think there will be another non-scheduled meeting as well.

Naturally, there’s a larger presence of South American neighbors wanting to meet with Lula but it’s also cool to see Lusosphere present with Angola, Portugal, Guinea-Bissau and East Timor.

A tendency towards leftist (including far-left/left-authoritarian) leaders too, although that seems to just be a combination of South America's current cohort of presidents and China having sent the most senior dignitary of any of the major world powers. I don't think too much is to be read into it, especially since Bolsonaro was just about the furthest thing from a principled stalwart of liberal democracy on the world stage himself.

[buritobr]

What will the first policy priorities of Lula Administration 2: Love Song of Vengeance be?

Since the new elected Congress will inaugurate only on February 1st, Lula's first policies are acts which doesn't need Congress approval: repealing Bolsonaro's acts related to mining in indigenous lands in Amazon forest and related to weapons

[buritobr]

The kind of Brazilian who lives in Florida. Far-right TV political commentator Rodrigo Constantino. He is a strong Bolsonaro supporter.

The translation for Portuguese of the character Goofy is "Pateta". In Brazil, we say that dumb people are "pateta". So, we say that in this people, we see the "pateta" and someone wearing a costume.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

What will the first policy priorities of Lula Administration 2: Love Song of Vengeance be?

Since the new elected Congress will inaugurate only on February 1st, Lula's first policies are acts which doesn't need Congress approval: repealing Bolsonaro's acts related to mining in indigenous lands in Amazon forest and related to weapons

Good. Bolsonaro's policies towards the Amazon made him possibly the most dangerous individual world leader since Hitler (which isn't necessarily the same thing as the morally worst on a personal level).

[buritobr]

Lula is the 3rd president of Brazil to serve non-consecutive terms. So, he is at the same time the 35th and the 39th president of Brazil.

Getúlio Vargas was the 14th president when he was a dictator (1930-1945) and the 17th president when he was a democratic elected president (1951-1954)

Ranieri Mazzilli was twice only an acting president. Even though, he is counted. He was the 23th president for few days in 1961 and the 25th president for few days in 1964.

So, Lula is now the 39th president, but actually, there were only 36 presidents.

https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lista_de_presidentes_do_Brasil

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Will Lula refund FUNAI?

[Niemeyerite]

Will Lula refund FUNAI?

100% yes. He wouldn't have selected Sonia Guajajara as Minister for Indigenous Affairs if he didn't want to refund FUNAI 😊

[buritobr]

Funai never closed, but during Bolsonaro's administration, this branch was led by a general as didn't perform well its duties.
Lula will restore Funai's roles.

[buritobr]

Summary of Lula's innauguration with Game of Throne's theme

https://twitter.com/i/status/1611115337738584066

[buritobr]

Far-right "demonstrators" (criminal, terrorists) invaded Brazilian congress. This is not funny here in Latin America as it is in the Capitol invasion on January 6th 2021. There was a coup in Bolivia in 2019.

[buritobr]

I read the thread "Is "suburbs will vote like 2004 after Trump leaves office" the worst political take ever?" in "Individual Politics" and realized that this debate is also valid for Brazil.
Will middle/upper income citizens of big cities who used to vote for the PSDB but not for Bolsonaro go back to the right if Bolsonaro becomes part of the past and the right becomes represented by moderate candidates again?

Look at the results in the 5th Electoral Zone-SP in the municipality of São Paulo, the wealthiest Electoral Zone in Brazil

2006 president: Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB) 82.8%, Lula (PT) 17.2%
2008 mayor: Kassab (DEM) 84.5%, Marta (PT) 15.5%
2010 president: José Serra (PSDB) 82.4%, Dilma Rousseff (PT) 17.6%
2012 mayor: José Serra (PSDB) 77.7%, Fernando Haddad (PT) 22.3%
2014 president: Aécio Neves (PSDB) 86.7%, Dilma Rousseff (PT) 13.3%
2016 mayor: João Doria (PSDB) 71.7%, Fernando Haddad (PT) 16.4% (there was no runoff)
2018 president: Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) 73.0%, Fernando Haddad (PT) 27.0%
2020 mayor: Bruno Covas (PSDB) 73.4%, Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) 26.6%
2022 president: Jair Bolsonaro (PL) 53.8%, Lula (PT) 46.2%

The result of 2020 gave us a clue that the answer is NO for many people. The already dead former mayor Bruno Covas was a moderate center-right politician, he was neutral in the 2018 runoff between Bolsonaro and Haddad. Even though, he didn't repeat the results for the PSDB/DEM between 2006 and 2014. The presidential election of 2018 and the municipal election of 2020 had almost the same result in the 5th ZE.
Maybe, 2022 was an outlier, but I don't think this wealthy zone in São Paulo will return to the 2006-2014 results. I think 2018/2020 will be the new rule in the next elections.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

It’s been revealed that the police found a draft order suspending the results of the election in Anderson Torres’s home when they arrested him two days ago.

[2952-0-0]

It’s been revealed that the police found a draft order suspending the results of the election in Anderson Torres’s home when they arrested him two days ago.

Ah, great, all the way down to the fake electors. I wonder when we'll hear of the phone call where Bolsonaro demands exactly 2,139,646 votes to be found.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

It’s been revealed that the police found a draft order suspending the results of the election in Anderson Torres’s home when they arrested him two days ago.

They apprehended him? Good.

[Antonio the Sixth]

#LockHimUp

[buritobr]

Before the 2018 election, I posted the videos of the results of the presidential elections in the cities of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro from 1989 to 2018.
Now, I have videos from 1945 to 2022, with the map of the results in the districts since 1955.

Presidential election results in São Paulo from 1945 to 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1K-C0b-SX4&t=266s

Presidential election results in Rio de Janeiro from 1945 to 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nxcF1T_fdk&t=49s

Presidential election results in the whole country
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3tOqPQSRAEk

[buritobr]

I have already made this maps for the elections until 2022, now I am updating for 2022

This map has the best performance of the left in each municipality in the presidential elections from 1989 to 2022
1989, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022: % for PT in the runoff
1994: % for PT+PDT in the first round
1998: % for PT in the first round


The left performed best in 1989 in Rio Grande do Sul, in 2002 in big cities and rich cities in the countryside, in 2006/10/14/18 in very poor cities in the countryside, and in 2022 in the city of São Paulo-SP and some other cities, most of them in the state of São Paulo



This map shows the average of the vote for the left in every municipality from 1989 to 2022

Average of
1989, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022: % for PT in the runoff
1994: % for PT+PDT in the first round
1998: % for PT in the first round

[Estrella]

Why is Rio Grande do Sul (and, by the looks of it, also western Santa Carina and southwestern Paraná) so much better for the left than rest of the South?