NJ (Stockton): Murphy +9

[wbrocks67]

I still think Murphy's floor is 12 points at the absolute minimum.

I don't think we should assume that undecideds are going to break evenly or favor Ciatarelli. That would be the only way this poll translates.

And I don't trust pollsters LV models in 2021. They were absolutely terrible in CA.

[wbrocks67]

I still think Murphy's floor is 12 points at the absolute minimum.

I don't think we should assume that undecideds are going to break evenly or favor Ciatarelli. That would be the only way this poll translates.

And I don't trust pollsters LV models in 2021. They were absolutely terrible in CA.

Yeah, we get it. Any poll with even a slightly decent result for the GOP must be junk, while akshually, DCCC polls are all totally accurate because... reasons.

I literally said nothing about DCCC polls so why don't you stop with the attitude? Thanks

[wbrocks67]

Murphy is winning by at least low double digits. Ciatarelli is not really campaigning.

This is the thing too - Ciatarelli has been absent the entire campaign.