NJ (Stockton): Murphy +9 (user search)

Roll Roons
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	NJ (Stockton): Murphy +9 « on: September 29, 2021, 12:24:21 PM »
	« edited: September 29, 2021, 12:29:01 PM by Roll Roons »

https://newjerseyglobe.com/campaigns/murphy-leads-ciattarelli-by-9-points-new-stockton-poll-ways/

Murphy 50, Ciattarelli 41. I think a single-digit race is very possible.

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Roll Roons
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Re: NJ (Stockton): Murphy +9

« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2021, 02:58:46 PM »

Also if this race ends up as a single-digit margin, I think it'll be in no small part because there's been relatively little national media attention compared to CA or VA.

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Roll Roons
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Re: NJ (Stockton): Murphy +9

« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2021, 06:54:51 AM »

Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 30, 2021, 05:27:20 AM

Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 29, 2021, 07:43:33 PM

I still think Murphy's floor is 12 points at the absolute minimum.

I don't think we should assume that undecideds are going to break evenly or favor Ciatarelli. That would be the only way this poll translates.

And I don't trust pollsters LV models in 2021. They were absolutely terrible in CA.

Yeah, we get it. Any poll with even a slightly decent result for the GOP must be junk, while akshually, DCCC polls are all totally accurate because... reasons.

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