Murphy is winning by at least low double digits. Ciatarelli is not really campaigning.
This is the thing too - Ciatarelli has been absent the entire campaign.
I am confident that Murphy will win by the low teens, as is typical for a Democrat in an off-year statewide race, but I would disagree that Ciatarelli isn't campaigning. The race has really heated up this month. Every other Youtube video I watch is preceded by a Ciatarelli ad. I can even quote it verbatim: "Have you seen the ads? Phil Murphy is lying about me. I would too if I had his record..."