Both are awful candidates, but the national environment would carry Lake across the finish line narrowly.
Yeah. That’s my guess. But I dunno. All comes down to how well Hobbs does in Maricopa County.
If she wins it, she wins. My guess is she would narrowly lose, by a point or two. This and the senate race (and honestly most of the statewide offices like SOS, AG, etc.) will definitely be close races regardless.
The most consequential race of the year is SOS. If Ds lose, I fully expect a sham election in 2024. Like expect a complete circus with an Oath Keeper running our elections. The coup will be underway.