Rasmussen: Trump +10 over Biden, +13 over Harris
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Rasmussen: Trump +10 over Biden, +13 over Harris
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Author Topic: Rasmussen: Trump +10 over Biden, +13 over Harris  (Read 2773 times)
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: October 01, 2021, 07:51:20 PM »

See now, this is a perfect example of why polls are turning into irrelevant garbage. 

Trump got around 46-48% of the national vote running for election twice.  What makes anyone think he could credibly get 51-52% this time?  Which would essentially mean a swing of like 5 million actual voters.

Because Biden is flopping, or at least perceived as doing so? Trump expanded his base in 2020, it could well expand further, as crazy as it may seem.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #26 on: October 01, 2021, 09:22:28 PM »

See now, this is a perfect example of why polls are turning into irrelevant garbage. 

Trump got around 46-48% of the national vote running for election twice.  What makes anyone think he could credibly get 51-52% this time?  Which would essentially mean a swing of like 5 million actual voters.

Because Biden is flopping, or at least perceived as doing so? Trump expanded his base in 2020, it could well expand further, as crazy as it may seem.
Ya I’m skeptical of this poll but 5 million voters doesn’t seem like a huge leap. Trump won ~12M extra votes in 2020 compared to 2016 so that’s not an insane shift.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: October 01, 2021, 10:44:23 PM »

See now, this is a perfect example of why polls are turning into irrelevant garbage. 

Trump got around 46-48% of the national vote running for election twice.  What makes anyone think he could credibly get 51-52% this time?  Which would essentially mean a swing of like 5 million actual voters.

Because Biden is flopping, or at least perceived as doing so? Trump expanded his base in 2020, it could well expand further, as crazy as it may seem.
Ya I’m skeptical of this poll but 5 million voters doesn’t seem like a huge leap. Trump won ~12M extra votes in 2020 compared to 2016 so that’s not an insane shift.

I don't see how that matters.  Trump got a SMALLER percentage the second time even after gaining all those votes.  I meant he would have to convert 5 million Biden voters to get anywhere near that margin. 
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: October 01, 2021, 10:45:19 PM »

See now, this is a perfect example of why polls are turning into irrelevant garbage. 

Trump got around 46-48% of the national vote running for election twice.  What makes anyone think he could credibly get 51-52% this time?  Which would essentially mean a swing of like 5 million actual voters.

Because Biden is flopping, or at least perceived as doing so? Trump expanded his base in 2020, it could well expand further, as crazy as it may seem.

Yes Biden is doing a bad job, and so are Dems, but Trump's not getting anything close to 51%.  That's practically a landslide in modern times.  If a pollster called me right now I'd say I disapprove of Biden, doesn't mean Trump would have a snowballs chance in hell of getting my vote. 
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Hammy
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« Reply #29 on: October 01, 2021, 11:15:20 PM »

See now, this is a perfect example of why polls are turning into irrelevant garbage.  

Trump got around 46-48% of the national vote running for election twice.  What makes anyone think he could credibly get 51-52% this time?  Which would essentially mean a swing of like 5 million actual voters.

It's more an example of why people shouldn't treat partisan polls almost two years from the midterms and almost four years from the presidential election as anything other than propaganda.
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