MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6

[Vosem]

I think if it’s this bad in the end, Biden might not seek re-election.

Clinton and Obama both won in spite of really bad midterm backlashes, and Trump came extremely close. I think only a health scare might cause Biden not to seek reelection; aside from that he's all in. (And in public statements he's been incredibly clear, going back to his campaign launch in 2019, that his intention is to be a two-term President).