Trafalgar is generally more accurate in the Midwest than they are in other regions of America (apart from Florida maybe) though I don’t think the margin is this big for Craig.
I could definitely see Whitmer losing to Craig, just not by 6.
For a change I agree with you. Best case scenario for the GOP, what do you think Craig's margin is? I'd say 3 points or thereabouts.
You really think Whitmer can't pull it out in 13 mnths
She definitely
can, it's just not definitely ascertained yet, which is why I said a 3-point GOP flip is their
best case scenario (worst case scenario for the GOP, they lose by about 4-5 points).