MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer might lose

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

R polls are inflated right now, Sununu and Laxalt aren't up by nine pts, and Whitmer isnt down by six

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trafalgar is very reliable on the Midwest and Florida. They have a tough time in Georgia and states that are solid D states, so I can see this being true.

GA ISNOT A SOLID D STATE, WARNOCK CAN EASILY LOSE IN A RUNOFF, HE HAS TO GET 51% TO AVOID A RUNOFF

WHITMER IS FINE SHE WILL WIN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Honestly I could see Whitmer losing by 10 as a possibility.

I doubt it, Traggy had Trump winning MI last time, Gretchen is gonna win, the map is gonna follow the Blue 🧱🧱🧱

Biden Approvals aren't gonna stay at 45

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trafalgar is generally more accurate in the Midwest than they are in other regions of America (apart from Florida maybe) though I don’t think the margin is this big for Craig.

I could definitely see Whitmer losing to Craig, just not by 6.

For a change I agree with you. Best case scenario for the GOP, what do you think Craig's margin is? I'd say 3 points or thereabouts.

You really think Whitmer can't pull it out in 13 mnths

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R.

So much for her being a "rising star."

Lol a 6 pt lead even in this Environment isn't safe R, MI Gov polls have always been Junky, Traggy had Trump ahead of Biden on the Final weekend in 202o too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If a little known Republican African American Woman like Winsome Sears can win the the VA Lt. Governor Race then Craig, who is much more known can win in Michigan.

Youngkin ran on cutting taxes, Southern states are more prone to tax cuts than a state like MI or Cali whom have high property tax asides DTW is much more pro union than VA