MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6

[beesley]

Whitmer isn't going to lose by 6, but this race is definitely concerning. Toss-Up, and not significantly less likely to flip than Wisconsin, if at all.

Eh, Trafalgar is the gold standard.

It's more the pyrite standard than anything.

That is a very good way of putting it. They leaned to the right which gives the impression of reduced polling error, in the same way that some Atlas posters were more accurate.