MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6 (user search)
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  MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6  (Read 2388 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: September 24, 2021, 11:48:33 AM »

Whitmer isn't going to lose by 6, but this race is definitely concerning. Toss-Up, and not significantly less likely to flip than Wisconsin, if at all.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2021, 05:50:08 PM »

Whitmer isn't going to lose by 6, but this race is definitely concerning. Toss-Up, and not significantly less likely to flip than Wisconsin, if at all.

Eh, Trafalgar is the gold standard.

It's had some hilariously bad poll numbers for a supposed "gold standard." Plus, it missed Michigan by nearly five points in 2020, so while other pollsters weren't exactly great in the Midwest, perfect TrafLOLgar is not.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2021, 12:40:39 PM »

I still think Whitmer would have to run an awful campaign to lose this badly, but I would not be surprised by her losing.
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