Maine Governor Megathread: LePage Round 3

[ProgressiveModerate]

Why do people seem to think LePage has a chance? He’s never won a majority of voters in the state, he’s a divisive figure, and barely won in 2014. Plus Mills hasn’t done anything wrong I don’t see a scenario where LePage beats Mills, especially with RCV

My best guess is that these people think the national environment will be favorable enough to LePage's party to carry him over the finish line.

I think people forget Maine is still a Biden + 9 state where local politics still seems to matter to some degree. Something tells me Mills has significantly more support than LePage on a more local level. Lean D still.

[ProgressiveModerate]

LePage seems to me a candidate without the albatross-like downsides of Mastriano or Dixon but also without the upset potential of Ronchetti or Drazan. I'm expecting a fairly boring race along the lines of MN-GOV, with Mills moderately favored all the way.

Idk if it's just me but LePage seems to have 0 charisma to some of these other R candidates but he's also not particularly moderate. I think that makes it tricky for him to define himself