VA-Research Inc/UMW: McAuliffe +5, Youngkin +5

[Sir Mohamed]

Ugh, no. Beyond doubtful. Remember a bunch of polls from 2017 having Gillespie ahead, one even by 8 pts? Race remains Likely D. Margin could be in Lean territory, race itsself is Safe in terms of outcome. VA has moved too much to the left and Trumpkin is a weak candidate.

Wouldn't be surprised though if the Lt. Gov. race is the closest of the 3 major matchups.