IA - Selzer/DMR: Grassley +18% over Finkenauer with outright majority of vote (user search)
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  IA - Selzer/DMR: Grassley +18% over Finkenauer with outright majority of vote (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA - Selzer/DMR: Grassley +18% over Finkenauer with outright majority of vote  (Read 1977 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: September 21, 2021, 09:19:44 AM »

MT Treasurer Fink never had a chance, Harris is a poor Veep to help Biden win IA


The thing about it, Ras Smith is still trying to get me to DONATE to his F campaign
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2021, 09:54:25 AM »

Titanium Chuck.. delusions from hacks didn't change that fact.



Grassley isn't a Partisan HACK, he is fairly like Daines and Kim Reynolds is helping Rs she is very popular on the syate

Enough to flip a Senate seat

GA, OH and NC SEN MAY GO D

Mike DeWine is popular but Mandel and Vance don't appeal to Blks which have 12% in the state, that's why Senate race is tied
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2021, 10:50:58 AM »

I admit that f Biden doesn't get his 4.7T dollar package and Manchin and Sinema won't increase Debt Ceiling  or vote over 2T thru Reconciliation D's will lose next yr, but if Biden does get his massive spending bill D's can win 54 seats and 222 J seats and win DC statehood


All Manchin and Sinema has to do is make Rs do a standing Filibuster and Rs would relent and they said they are open to do it on VR and they can do it on Debt ceiling too

Lol the Election is 14 Mnths away, we won't win IA but other states with huge BLK votes in MI, WI and PA and OH and NC are different and Grassley isnt winning by 25 pts over Fink 5/7 pts ueah
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2021, 11:39:12 AM »


Lol it's 14 mnths til the Election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2021, 11:41:08 AM »

I admit that f Biden doesn't get his 4.7T dollar package and Manchin and Sinema won't increase Debt Ceiling  or vote over 2T thru Reconciliation D's will lose next yr, but if Biden does get his massive spending bill D's can win 54 seats and 222 J seats and win DC statehood


All Manchin and Sinema has to do is make Rs do a standing Filibuster and Rs would relent and they said they are open to do it on VR and they can do it on Debt ceiling too

Lol the Election is 14 Mnths away, we won't win IA but other states with huge BLK votes in MI, WI and PA and OH and NC are different and Grassley isnt winning by 25 pts over Fink 5/7 pts ueah
You are joke Olowakandi! The Democrats are doomed no matter what happens with the Infrastructure Bill. IF they vote for it they will be labelled as "SOCIALISTS", IF they vote against it the Progressive Fraction of the Democratic Party might not come out and vote next year.

The Biden/Harris/Pelosi/Schumer Clown Show has already done massive OVERREACH in this Country over the last 8 months with the Vaccine Mandates. Biden is in a worse spot compared to Obama at the same time of their respective Presidencies.

Obama ended his 1st Year in Office (2009) with a +22.5 JA Rating according to Historical Data from the Real Clear Politics Website and Biden won't even come close to that as he is already underwater.

It all fell apart for Obama once the Democratic-led Congress passed the Affordable Care Act through Reconciliation.

Same thing will happen with the Budget/Infrastructure Bill.

Meanwhile when you look at Polls Inflation is the biggest Issue for Voters right now.

It's not a Red wave when Rs lose by a landslide in Cali Recall and lose by 5 in VA and losing by 9 in AZ, CO and PA and tied in WI and down by 2 in MI, Rs won MI, CO and VA Gov in 2010/2014, you think it is but I dont.
The only states you guys are up in are NV and NH and we are targeting OH and NC and Ryan leads by 1 in OH and tied in another

No polls in NC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2021, 05:17:48 PM »
« Edited: September 21, 2021, 05:27:56 PM by Mr. Kanye West »

I admit that f Biden doesn't get his 4.7T dollar package and Manchin and Sinema won't increase Debt Ceiling  or vote over 2T thru Reconciliation D's will lose next yr, but if Biden does get his massive spending bill D's can win 54 seats and 222 J seats and win DC statehood


All Manchin and Sinema has to do is make Rs do a standing Filibuster and Rs would relent and they said they are open to do it on VR and they can do it on Debt ceiling too

Lol the Election is 14 Mnths away, we won't win IA but other states with huge BLK votes in MI, WI and PA and OH and NC are different and Grassley isnt winning by 25 pts over Fink 5/7 pts ueah
You are joke Olowakandi! The Democrats are doomed no matter what happens with the Infrastructure Bill. IF they vote for it they will be labelled as "SOCIALISTS", IF they vote against it the Progressive Fraction of the Democratic Party might not come out and vote next year.

The Biden/Harris/Pelosi/Schumer Clown Show has already done massive OVERREACH in this Country over the last 8 months with the Vaccine Mandates. Biden is in a worse spot compared to Obama at the same time of their respective Presidencies.

Obama ended his 1st Year in Office (2009) with a +22.5 JA Rating according to Historical Data from the Real Clear Politics Website and Biden won't even come close to that as he is already underwater.

It all fell apart for Obama once the Democratic-led Congress passed the Affordable Care Act through Reconciliation.

Same thing will happen with the Budget/Infrastructure Bill.

Meanwhile when you look at Polls Inflation is the biggest Issue for Voters right now.

It's not a Red wave when Rs lose by a landslide in Cali Recall and lose by 5 in VA and losing by 9 in AZ, CO and PA and tied in WI and down by 2 in MI, Rs won MI, CO and VA Gov in 2010/2014, you think it is but I dont.
The only states you guys are up in are NV and NH and we are targeting OH and NC and Ryan leads by 1 in OH and tied in another

No polls in NC

CA really doesn't move in wave years. It just is what it is. It didn't really move in 2006 or 2010.

VA did in 2009 and we lost in 2010 and we are ahead its a 304 map anyways unless we lose WI

We are gonna win NH and NV, those states lagged behind Hassan beat Ayotte in 2016 on Election night and so did SISOLAK and Rosen whom were all trailing up until the Election

Don't underestimate Tim Ryan and Jeff Jackson that's why I still am predicting a Ryan and Jeff Jackson win, if Beshear won on R KY and Ryan looks like Beshear just like Kelly can win on KS we can have in 14 mnths a 54/46 S and 222/216 H and DC and PR Statehood, Barnes, Fetterman, Ryan all said they aren't for Crt packing but get rid of Fillibuster for DC Statehood, amid Covid cases going down if Biden passes his Infrastructure and Reconciliation with a 2.5T pricetag and lift the Debt Ceiling


There are 12(25% Blk in OH and NC unlike IA and DeSantis and Rubio got a Surfside bump

We also have wave insurance candidates in Ben Downing, Bill Walker in AK and Beshear can win reelection in 2023 and Hobbs in AZ.
IA has 3% Afro Americans
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2021, 07:53:06 PM »

It's going to be a bigger red wave than 2010. Iowa is a red state, yes, but it's not this red unless it's going to be a red wave of Biblical proportions.

You think it's a red wave  Grassley was always safe but he's not winning by 18 PT's
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2021, 07:56:11 PM »

It's going to be a bigger red wave than 2010. Iowa is a red state, yes, but it's not this red unless it's going to be a red wave of Biblical proportions.

You think it's a red wave  Grassley was always safe but he's not winning by 18 PT's

Biden is -30 right now in Iowa lol, if anything, the undecideds probably lean Grassley.
..

This is one poll, stop taking one poll, it's 14 mnths til the Election

Biden Legislation us stalked in Congress due to R obstruction and Sinema and Manchin won't change the Filibuster
.

There is a Govt shutdown pending due to Debt Ceiling, voters are anxious..I wouldn't donate to IA but I would root for Fink
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2021, 05:05:53 AM »

All the Rs like Indy Rep that thought Fink was unbeatable are backtrack and say IA is safe R, she lost last time

Lesson you don't run retread candidates that lost if she lost in 2020, don't run her again
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2021, 11:31:24 AM »

This lead is inflated, Grassley isn't winning by 20, but 10 yes
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: September 22, 2021, 12:02:44 PM »

These R leads are suspect because Biden Approvals are down not just because of Afghanistan but the surge in Delta, Covid won't be over, but Delta cases are looking alot better now and will be gone soon

D's lead on Generic ballot by 4, and IA Grassley did win by 20 in 2016/ he ran against Patty Judge

Fink isn't Patty Judge, his lead is 10 not 20

Just like Sununu and Laxalt lead were in inflated leading by nine pts, CCM and Hassan aren't losing by nine

Wake me up if Aug of 2022/ when it gets closer to Election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2021, 07:58:27 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2021, 08:02:34 PM by Mr. Kanye West »

Snowlabrador, he is a pessimistic user, D's should win 51/52 Seats in the Sen and possibly more in a blue wave, Rs had a bigger Gerrymandering I'm 2010/2014/and they controlled WI, PA and MI

We control thise states now plus AZ, we were down to the bear minimum MI and PA. 3 seats each states now we have 8

CA Rs are gonna lose 5 or more seats

If Biden passed his domestic agenda which is stalled by Rs then a blue wave can develop
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