Why the CA-Recall results are bad for Democrats. (user search)
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  Why the CA-Recall results are bad for Democrats. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why the CA-Recall results are bad for Democrats.  (Read 3876 times)
Agafin
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Posts: 838
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« on: September 15, 2021, 06:04:20 AM »
« edited: September 15, 2021, 06:07:40 AM by Agafin »

It is pretty dumb and uninformed to say that election night results in CA are bad for Dems.

CA has lots of mail ballots that arrive and are counted after election day (as long as they are mailed on/before election day). In the past, those votes have typically skewed Democratic. To the extent that is the case this time around, then Dem performance may well improve significantly after all of the votes are actually counted.

So wait until the votes are counted to draw your conclusions.

Or have a pie to the face. Your choice.

OK, I guess you're going with the pie.

As you said, that was in the past. I distinctly remember the Garcia Vs Smith race in 2020 and how each subsequent update made the result more favourable to Garcia until he eventually took the lead. This is the opposite of what happened in 2018. The combo of Covid 19 and Trump's attacks on mail-in voting has made democrats vote the earliest and republicans the latest.

So far the same is happening in the recall. I believe the earliest results (when mail-ins were all we had) had No getting over 70%. When I last looked at the NBC results, they had No up 67-33 with ~60% in and now it's 64-36 with ~70% of (estimated) votes counted.
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