FL-22: INTERNAL - Ron Klein (D) now ahead of Clay Shaw (R)
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  FL-22: INTERNAL - Ron Klein (D) now ahead of Clay Shaw (R)
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Author Topic: FL-22: INTERNAL - Ron Klein (D) now ahead of Clay Shaw (R)  (Read 1632 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 03, 2006, 02:52:14 AM »

Anzalone Liszt Research:

Klein-D: 43%
Shaw-R: 42%
Und.: 15%

The poll surveyed 500 likely voters in the district, which stretches along the coasts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. It was conducted by Anzalone Liszt Research. The poll's margin of error is 4.4 percent
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2006, 05:45:50 AM »

LOOKEVERYONETHISRACEISTIGHT!!!!!!1111111111111111111111 IAMLEADING/TRAILINGINCUMBENTCONGRESSMANWHATSHISFACEBYTWO/ONEPOINTS/WEARENECKANDNECK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11111111111PLEASEPLEASEPLEASEPLEASEPLEASEGIVEMEMONEY!!!!!!!!!1111111111111111111111111

Ahem
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2006, 09:46:45 AM »

Right...?  Anyway I am going to show how non-hackish and fair I am despite being accused of it.  I think Shaw will win.  Surely, we know internal polls tend to overly favour their candidate.  If Klein can only claim to be ahead by 1% then I don't think he has a good chance of upsetting Shaw.  A non-partisan poll recently had Shaw leading 42%-38%. Klein is well-funded and has good credentials and he will make it close but Clay Shaw has somehow managed to stay above the anti-incumbent tide this year despite the fact this District voted for Kerry.  I also think Shaw is drawing additional sympathy due to his cancer.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2006, 01:47:46 PM »

Right...?  Anyway I am going to show how non-hackish and fair I am despite being accused of it.  I think Shaw will win.  Surely, we know internal polls tend to overly favour their candidate.  If Klein can only claim to be ahead by 1% then I don't think he has a good chance of upsetting Shaw.  A non-partisan poll recently had Shaw leading 42%-38%. Klein is well-funded and has good credentials and he will make it close but Clay Shaw has somehow managed to stay above the anti-incumbent tide this year despite the fact this District voted for Kerry.  I also think Shaw is drawing additional sympathy due to his cancer.

This is an obvious fundraising strategy, was all Al was saying.  Most of the public, even the donating public, doesn't realise that being tied in an internal poll is a very bad thing.
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Deano963
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2006, 05:55:26 PM »

Is Shaw's district right next to Foley's? I wonder if there could be any spillover damage to Shaw.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2006, 06:07:56 PM »

Is Shaw's district right next to Foley's? I wonder if there could be any spillover damage to Shaw.

I'm not sure but there Districts 16 and 22 so I would guess not
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nini2287
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2006, 06:19:24 PM »

Is Shaw's district right next to Foley's? I wonder if there could be any spillover damage to Shaw.

I'm not sure but there Districts 16 and 22 so I would guess not

They are fairly close:



FL-22:  Shaw
FL-16:  Foley
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