Wow. Could No win by more than Biden?
I feel like +29 might be too high, but I feel like Newsom could definitely top his 22% win in 2018 at this point.
It would definitely be something if it were the exact same result. It would perhaps indicate that there might be ceiling for Republicans where if they do sweep 2022, they probably will lose at least one house either in 2022 or 2024 if Biden is re-elected.
I say this based on very little but it is a hypotheses based on what I’ve been seeing where Biden would at least win popular vote and the House popular vote would be even if the election were held a couple of weeks ago.
I could see Republicans flipping the house margins and getting to 52 senators like that. If things revert, Republicans will probably get half that.
