How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district? (user search)
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  How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district?  (Read 1984 times)
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« on: September 13, 2021, 01:57:03 PM »
NY-22. Very well. He would be strong with the large WWC portion of the district. If he ran as a Republican, he would easily primary Tenney, due to him being authentically pro-Trump. He would win the general as a GOPer by about 20, but he would not get past the primary as a Dem, due to not being left wing enough.
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2021, 05:34:39 PM »
 NY-22

Assuming he runs a Dem, he would win the primary, but lose the general about 8%. His being fairly left wing economically helps him with populist WWC voters, but his social liberalism hurts him among the general electorate
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2021, 07:17:58 AM »
NY-22

I couldn't see him winning either primary, tbh. He would be seen as being an elitist, to his being from a wealthy suburb and being an ardent supporter of establishment Dems, which is a big no-no in my district. He would lose the general about 17% as a Dem, and about 5% as a Republican.
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2021, 12:35:14 PM »
Quote from: GregTheGreat657 on September 13, 2021, 01:57:03 PM
NY-22. Very well. He would be strong with the large WWC portion of the district. If he ran as a Republican, he would easily primary Tenney, due to him being authentically pro-Trump. He would win the general as a GOPer by about 20, but he would not get past the primary as a Dem, due to not being left wing enough.
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2021, 07:33:45 PM »
NY-22. He would probably win by about 5%, give or take several percentage points depending on which party he runs as, due to voters here being tough-on-crime. A outsized amount of houses around here fly Blue Lives Matter flags, which would help him
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #5 on: December 16, 2021, 07:25:54 PM »
NY-22

Would lose by a couple of points, as he would be seen as too liberal for the district
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #6 on: December 18, 2021, 08:53:04 PM »
NY-22. Would win by several points due to his center-right populism
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #7 on: February 21, 2022, 07:25:32 PM »
Bump
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #8 on: January 12, 2023, 09:48:06 AM »
Wins by a little over 20%
Logged
GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,906
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -1.04

P P
« Reply #9 on: January 16, 2023, 12:15:41 AM »
Loses by about 20
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