State trend predictions through the 2030's (user search)
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  State trend predictions through the 2030's (search mode)
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Author Topic: State trend predictions through the 2030's  (Read 4018 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« on: November 06, 2021, 04:26:11 AM »

The problem is most states seem to be trending left, yet federal elections stay competitive, and if they no longer be.. and the Republicans have no path to the WH, what will than happen? Will a third party rise? Will the Democrats be certain of the WH and the primaries matter more, resulting in Republicans registering as Democrat in Democratic states strategically, as the Democratic Party becoems a catch-all party. Or will the GOP adapt to new circumstances?

Maybe the suburban areas cancel the trend somewhat because of the left-wing direction of Democrats on social issues? Maybe minorities trend Republican (even if hispanics are a non-uniform group). I personally find the future hard to imagine as almost every state is growing and the ones that don't, don't really matter on a federal level.

It's hard to imagine a Republican ever winning the NPV if that didn't happen in 2016-2020 if they keep running on a platform endorsing Trump. Or the Democrats itself have to  it up and collapse. I really have no idea how in the long run the GOP can manage to stay relevant, unless the Americans aren't as progressives as some of us like to believe (which might be the case) and that the trends were there for other reasons.
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