Emerson Republican Primary Poll : Trump +57, DeSantis +8 (without Trump).
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Emerson Republican Primary Poll : Trump +57, DeSantis +8 (without Trump).
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Author Topic: Emerson Republican Primary Poll : Trump +57, DeSantis +8 (without Trump).  (Read 412 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: September 02, 2021, 08:12:26 PM »

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2021, 10:48:38 PM »

How woud Trump primary voters vote in the primary matchup that doesn’t include Trump?

DeSantis 32%
Pence 29%
Cruz 16%
Hawley 6%
Haley 5%

And here’s how Trump primary voters would vote in a Biden vs. Romney general election:

Romney 38%
Someone Else 37%
Biden 21%

And now, fun with small N crosstabs….

In the race without Trump, Pence narrowly leads DeSantis among GOP voters under 30, but DeSantis leads amongst those over 30:

age 18-29: Pence +2 over DeSantis
age 30-49: DeSantis +13 over Pence
age 50-64: DeSantis +5 over Pence
age 65+: DeSantis +9 over Pence

DeSantis leads in the Northeast and South, while Pence leads in the Midwest and West.  Cruz is in 2nd place in both the Northeast and West:

Northeast: DeSantis +21 over Cruz
South: DeSantis +12 over Pence
Midwest: Pence +2 over DeSantis
West: Pence +12 over Cruz
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Senator-elect Spark
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Junior Chimp
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E: -6.58, S: 0.00

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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2021, 10:58:15 PM »

The fact that Cruz is even in contention should be frightening.
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