Not like this is accurate, but Murphy only winning by like 5-10 would be unsurprising. NJ does not like to vote for the in-party in gubernatorial elections. Murphy has been quite divisive as well, given his strict COVID policies. I do think that he has avoided reinstituting a mask mandate to avoid criticism in the run-up to his reelection.
That only happens if turnout for the election is even lower than last time. And if what you're saying is true, how come Ciatarelli isn't seizing upon COVID restrictions more? All I've seen out of him are ads about Murphy talking about how New Jersey isn't the state for you if you care about the tax rate. That's it. Taxes are the bread-and-butter issue for New Jersey Republicans, but there has to be more than that if he actually thinks he can win, right?
Anyway, this poll should drowned in the overflowed Passaic river.
