How did Clinton 2016 to GOP 2018 voters vote?
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  How did Clinton 2016 to GOP 2018 voters vote?
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Author Topic: How did Clinton 2016 to GOP 2018 voters vote?  (Read 745 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: August 27, 2021, 11:19:22 AM »

How did people who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 but Republicans in 2018 vote?
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Girlytree
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« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2021, 12:13:19 PM »

It depends.

I would think that Clinton to Bob Hugin voters probably stuck with Biden, but Clinton voters who supported Rick Scott were definitely won by Trump.

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Vice President Christian Man
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2021, 06:53:07 PM »

Assuming they voted for establishment Republicans, I'd say mostly Biden but Trump might've won a few of them, especially if they voted for Trumpist candidates. They are also more likely to have voted for Romney than Obama in 2012.
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2021, 09:32:18 PM »

Surely a lot of these people changed their minds about Trump, and so were won by Trump.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2021, 10:58:26 PM »

I bet a fair amount were hispanics who also voted GOP in 2020.  I bet they also turned out in smaller numbers in 2018 and I bet they will turn out in smaller numbers in 2022. 

I think the most at risk Republicans in 2022 are Republicans representing districts with a large number of hispanics because I don't think they are going to turn out big in 2022 and the ones who drop off are most likely the GOP leaning ones.  Without gerrymandering I'd expect both of the new Miami area republicans to lose.  Without extreme gerrymandering I think one will lose in 2022.
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here2view
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2021, 02:13:31 PM »

One of my friends is an example, he actually voted for Trump
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2021, 02:52:18 PM »

Depends on which Republican they voted for. If they voted for a moderate in 2019, I’d say Biden, but if they voted for a conservative, I’d say Trump
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Pres Mike
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« Reply #7 on: August 30, 2021, 10:12:48 AM »

Outside of New England, was this a thing?
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