Webb ties Allen according to MSNBC/Mason-Dixon (it is a real poll)
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  Webb ties Allen according to MSNBC/Mason-Dixon (it is a real poll)
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Author Topic: Webb ties Allen according to MSNBC/Mason-Dixon (it is a real poll)  (Read 2489 times)
poughies
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« on: September 29, 2006, 06:18:31 PM »

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15047082/
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2006, 06:25:39 PM »

Yeah baby!

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Conan
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2006, 06:29:59 PM »

HEY I GOT THE SCOOP FIRST!
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Raoul Takemoto
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2006, 06:32:06 PM »

This is most excellent news.
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poughies
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2006, 06:32:35 PM »

yea, but i proved your scoop. HAHA, either way its good news Wink!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2006, 06:34:12 PM »

Of course you did Knight Ridder sponsors the Mason Dixon polls and they write for MSNBC. So,  it will be on the MSNBC website.
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poughies
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2006, 06:36:29 PM »

correct.
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Frodo
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2006, 06:39:07 PM »

These are impressive results, considering that the poll demographic leans moderate-to-conservative, and that there are more Republicans and Republican-leaning independents than there are Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents. 

I don't think I am going so far out on a limb when I predict that the results on election day between Webb and Allen will be so close that there will be numerous recounts stretching well into late November, but eventually giving Allen a squeaker of a victory once it is all said and done. 
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2006, 06:54:37 PM »

These are impressive results, considering that the poll demographic leans moderate-to-conservative, and that there are more Republicans and Republican-leaning independents than there are Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents. 

I don't think I am going so far out on a limb when I predict that the results on election day between Webb and Allen will be so close that there will be numerous recounts stretching well into late November, but eventually giving Allen a squeaker of a victory once it is all said and done. 

You never know, Webb just might pull off a squeaker of a victory

Dave
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2006, 07:08:06 PM »

But you being optimistic with this poll Steele might pull it off as well and it might cancel this seat out. So, you must take all the polls into account not just the ones that show Dems pulling through.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2006, 07:08:35 PM »

MD is still not listing it on their website.
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2006, 07:16:25 PM »

MD is still not listing it on their website.

The Roanoke Times claims it was done for MSNBC/McClatchy (McClatchy?) with these results:

Allen 43%
Webb 43%
Parker 2%
Undecided 12%

Link
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2006, 07:17:53 PM »

But you being optimistic with this poll Steele might pull it off as well and it might cancel this seat out. So, you must take all the polls into account not just the ones that show Dems pulling through.

I'm an eternal optimist. Most polls have shown Cardin ahead of Steele, which is why I'm not putting MD into play. In fact, I need to see two or three polls with a consistent Steele lead of no less than 3%. But when I see a reputable poll that has a Democrat running level or slightly ahead in a GOP seat like TN or VA, I'm encouraged

I'm sure Republicans are equally encouraged when they see Steele leading in MD and they must be feeling very positive about NJ since  Kean seems to have a consistent lead over Menendez. So as of now, NJ is the only Democratic seat I have in play. As of now, VA remains lean Republican, while TN is more of a toss-up

Dave
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: September 29, 2006, 07:23:11 PM »

All I am saying is that VA still is a long shot and so is MD until the challengers have consistant leads. I agree you that TN is where the Dem will get their 6th seat not VA, where Webb still has failed to get the lead.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: September 29, 2006, 07:56:34 PM »

All I am saying is that VA still is a long shot and so is MD until the challengers have consistant leads. I agree you that TN is where the Dem will get their 6th seat not VA, where Webb still has failed to get the lead.

If Allen, an incumbent Senator, is really at 43% Webb has a great shot.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: September 29, 2006, 08:06:08 PM »

We need to see more polling to see if the gap is really closing. This doesn't square with the other polling done.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: September 29, 2006, 08:25:41 PM »

So who is McClatchy?
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Deano963
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« Reply #17 on: September 29, 2006, 08:27:27 PM »

We need to see more polling to see if the gap is really closing. This doesn't square with the other polling done.

Um, probably b/c this poll is new and new allegations have come out regarding Allen since the last polls on this race.

That last poll that had allen ahead by 5 took place over like 4 or 5 days. The day afterthe news about allen came out, Webb actually lead by 6 points for that day.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2006, 08:31:07 PM »


Newspaper company.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: September 29, 2006, 08:33:24 PM »


Thanks.
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TomC
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« Reply #20 on: September 29, 2006, 08:36:33 PM »

*crosses fingers*
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Conan
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« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2006, 09:23:56 PM »

When do they have their major prime time debates?
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Virginian87
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« Reply #22 on: September 29, 2006, 10:00:39 PM »

This poll alone should silence anyone who thinks that Jim Webb is still a longshot.  The race is tied with one month to go, and things will probably get worse for Allen.


I'm still waiting for that crazy scandal with Webb that AuH20 predicted.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #23 on: September 30, 2006, 12:33:15 AM »

Smiley
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Ben.
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« Reply #24 on: September 30, 2006, 03:16:51 AM »

This is interesting... be nice to see a similar boost for Ford, then again Corker's campaign is almost as bad as Allen's.   
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