FL-St. Pete: Rubio +2

[Roll Roons]

Trump +2.2 sample, so not that far off from the actual result (Trump +3.3)

Don't try to unskew polls, it never works out. Gotta assume the result is more like Rubio +8. There's no way Rubio has higher support among women than men.

I'm not unskewing it, the sample looks correct. It also had more Republicans than Democrats which at this point is also on point.

You're unskewing it by saying that the support doesn't make sense.

Florida polls suck even when Trump's not on the ballot.