Create fictional cities and guess how they vote

[CookieDamage]

Name: Oak Plain

Type: City (mayor-council)

Settled: 1699
 
Incorporated as Township: 1843

Incorporated as city: 1859

Population: 45,653 (+16.75% from 2010)

Demographics 2020: 60% white, 16% hispanic/latino, 15% Asian (14% Indian/South Asian), 8% black

Demographics 2010: 68% white, 13% hispanic/latino, 11% Asian (8% Indian/South Asian), 8% black

Religiosity: 39% Protestant, 30% Catholic, 15% irreligious, 10% Hindu, 5% Jewish

Density: 9,546 sq/mi

Median income: $68,436

High school graduation rate: 94%

College attainment rate: 48%

Advanced degree: 15%

Dominant industries: Services, higher education, finance, medicine

Notable events: Oak Plain Arts Festival, Oak Plain Pride, Red Hill Hip Hop & Rap Festival

Home to Oak Plain State University, Mayers Cancer Research Center and Hospital, Oak Plain School for the Arts

[CookieDamage]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

Probably about D + 25

Population: 43,202 (declining)
Demographics: 66% White, 27% Black, 5% Hispanic, 1% Asian, 1% Native American
Religiousness: Church attendance slightly above average, with 35% of the population being Methodist, 30% of the population is Methodist, 20% of the population is Catholic
Median Household Income: $38,700
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 18%
Density: Urban-Suburban mix
Dominant Industries: Manufacturing, Tourism, and Insurance

Hmm... I'm getting Obama-Obama-Trump-Trump vibes... Maybe Trump +6 in 2016 and Trump +13 in 2020.

[CookieDamage]

Anyways

Name: West Millbrook

Type: Township

Settled: 1863
 
Incorporated as Township: 1899

Population: 25,653 (-9.15% from 2010)

Demographics 2020: 79% white, 3% hispanic/latino, 1% Asian, 14% black

Demographics 2010: 81% white, 1% hispanic/latino, 1% Asian, 12% black

Religiosity: 78% Protestant, 10% Catholic, 9% irreligious, 1% Jewish

Density: 1,043 sq/mi

Median income: $49,103

High school graduation rate: 87%

College attainment rate: 20%

Advanced degree: 3%

Dominant industries: Services, crude resource refinement, chemicals, energy (historic: mining, steel, logging)

Notable events: Millbrook Blueberry Festival, YeeHaw Youth Rodeo

Home to The West Millbrook Mining Museum

[CookieDamage]

Hmm, it's an extremely white city, meagerly protestant, that isn't growing very fast and isn't very wealthy. I'm gonna say Obama '08 +8, Romney +0.5, Trump '16 +9, Trump '20 +23.

Palmwood is a fictional city and anchor of the metro area, West Palmwood-Friar Cliffs is a major suburb, while Bordeaux Township is an exurb.

Palmwood

Population: 638,035 (+27% from 2010)
Racial Demographics: 42% White, 38% Hispanic, 6% Black, 10% Asian (9% South Asian), 0% Native American
Religiousness: Plurality Catholic
Density: 10,203 per sq/mi
Median Household Income: $87,304
Dominant Industries: Services, Finance, Higher Education, Medicine, Tourism
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 39% (higher than state average)

West Palmwood-Friar Cliffs

Population: 201,564 (+30% from 2010)
Racial Demographics: 49% White, 28% Hispanic, 17% Black, 4% Asian, 1% Native American
Religiousness: Plurality Protestant
Density: 4,203 per sq/mi
Median Household Income: $50,304
Dominant Industries: Services, Retail, Hospitality
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 18% (slightly higher than state average)

Bordeaux Township

Population: 187,441 (-9% from 2010)
Racial Demographics: 54% White, 17% Hispanic, 28% Black, 1% Asian, 0% Native American
Religiousness: Majority Protestant
Density: 2,203 per sq/mi
Median Household Income: $36,102
Dominant Industries: Industry (Natural gas), Manufacturing, Healthcare services
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 14% (lower than state average)

[CookieDamage]

Population: 7,401 (+14.4% since 2010)
Density: 456/sq. mi
Demographics: 97% White, 1% Hispanic, 1% Native American, 0.4% Black, 0.3% Asian
Median Household Income: $108k
Bachelor's+ rate: 61%
Religion: Mostly Catholic, slightly below average church attendance
Largest Industries: Retail, Healthcare, and Construction

I'm guessing it's a McCain +8, Romney +9, Clinton +1, Biden +7 town. The high income, high college degree attainment rate, and healthcare industry makes me think dem. But the the lowish density and population and near universal whiteness of the town makes me think GOP.

Here's mine, a fictional city:

Name: Lorraine Township
Population: 54,605 (+3.87% from 2010)
Density: 972/sq mi
Demographics: 84% white, 11% black, 4% hispanic, 1% asian
Median household income: $75,500
Bachelor attainment rate: 46%
Post-grad attainment rate: 12%
Religion: 87% Christian (majority Episcopalian, some Baptists and Catholics), 3% irreligious, 3% Jewish, 2% Muslim, 2% Hindu
Largest industries: Contemporary: Retail, services, tourism, fishing, farming. Historical: logging, mining, manufacturing

[CookieDamage]

Skill and Chance didn't do one, so I guess I will (this one isn't real, by the way):


POPULATION (2020): 62,500
POPULATION (2010): 59,200
POPULATION (2000): 65,000
POPULATION (1990): 72,800
POPULATION (1980): 70,300
POPULATION (1970): 64,400
DENSITY: Quite sparse for a 'city', roughly 160 people per square mile as of 2020
DEMOGRAPHICS (2020): 48% non-Hispanic white; 24% Hispanic; 13% Native American; 5% black; 5% Asian; 5% other/mixed
DEMOGRAPHICS (2000): 53% non-Hispanic white; 29% Hispanic; 12% Native American; 2% black; 1% Asian; 3% other/mixed
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME: $39,000
DOMINANT INDUSTRIES: Healthcare, retail, oil, education
COLLEGE GRADUATE RATE (25+; AS OF 2020): 39%
COLLEGE GRADUATE RATE (25+; AS OF 2000): 33%
LGBT (2020): 5.9%
LGBT (2000): 3.2%
GENDER (2020): 50.7% female; 46.7% male; 2.6% transgender
GENDER (2000): 50.0% female; 49.3% male; 0.7% transgender

I wanna say a Bush +15 city, Obama '08 +5, Romney '12 +3, Clinton +6, Biden +12

Fictional city

Name: Frenchville
Type: Township (1879 - 1992), City (1992 to present)

Population: 26,700 (+15.83% from 2010)
Density 2020: 655/sq mi
Density 2010: 343/sq mi

Demographics 2020: 53% black, 43% white, 2% hispanic, 1% asian, 1% other
Demographics 2010: 51% white, 45% black, 1% hispanic, >0% asian, >0% other

Median household income 2020: $75,500
Median household income 2010: $53,200

Bachelor attainment rate 2020: 32%
Bachelor attainment rate 2010: 20%

Post-grad attainment rate 2020: 8%
Post-grad attainment rate 2010: 3%

Religion 2020: 93% Christian (55% Southern Baptist Convention, 26% African Methodist Episcopal Church, 12% Catholic) 3% Jewish, remaining other
Religion 2010: 96% Christian (69% Southern Baptist Convention, 19% African Methodist Episcopal Church, 8% Catholic) 2% Jewish, remaining other

Largest industries 2020: Services, retail, farming, tourism, manufacturing
Largest industries 2010: Services, farming, manufacturing
Largest industries 2000: Farming, manufacturing, fishing, food product services

[CookieDamage]

Skill and Chance didn't do one, so I guess I will (this one isn't real, by the way):


POPULATION (2020): 62,500
POPULATION (2010): 59,200
POPULATION (2000): 65,000
POPULATION (1990): 72,800
POPULATION (1980): 70,300
POPULATION (1970): 64,400
DENSITY: Quite sparse for a 'city', roughly 160 people per square mile as of 2020
DEMOGRAPHICS (2020): 48% non-Hispanic white; 24% Hispanic; 13% Native American; 5% black; 5% Asian; 5% other/mixed
DEMOGRAPHICS (2000): 53% non-Hispanic white; 29% Hispanic; 12% Native American; 2% black; 1% Asian; 3% other/mixed
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME: $39,000
DOMINANT INDUSTRIES: Healthcare, retail, oil, education
COLLEGE GRADUATE RATE (25+; AS OF 2020): 39%
COLLEGE GRADUATE RATE (25+; AS OF 2000): 33%
LGBT (2020): 5.9%
LGBT (2000): 3.2%
GENDER (2020): 50.7% female; 46.7% male; 2.6% transgender
GENDER (2000): 50.0% female; 49.3% male; 0.7% transgender

I wanna say a Bush +15 city, Obama '08 +5, Romney '12 +3, Clinton +6, Biden +12

Fictional city

Name: Frenchville
Type: Township (1879 - 1992), City (1992 to present)

Population: 26,700 (+15.83% from 2010)
Density 2020: 655/sq mi
Density 2010: 343/sq mi

Demographics 2020: 53% black, 43% white, 2% hispanic, 1% asian, 1% other
Demographics 2010: 51% white, 45% black, 1% hispanic, >0% asian, >0% other

Median household income 2020: $75,500
Median household income 2010: $53,200

Bachelor attainment rate 2020: 32%
Bachelor attainment rate 2010: 20%

Post-grad attainment rate 2020: 8%
Post-grad attainment rate 2010: 3%

Religion 2020: 93% Christian (55% Southern Baptist Convention, 26% African Methodist Episcopal Church, 12% Catholic) 3% Jewish, remaining other
Religion 2010: 96% Christian (69% Southern Baptist Convention, 19% African Methodist Episcopal Church, 8% Catholic) 2% Jewish, remaining other

Largest industries 2020: Services, retail, farming, tourism, manufacturing
Largest industries 2010: Services, farming, manufacturing
Largest industries 2000: Farming, manufacturing, fishing, food product services

2004: Bush + 4
2008: Obama + 5
2012: Obama + 5
2016: Trump + 1
2020: Biden + 2

My city is real

Population: 7,843 (-4.5% from 2010)
Density: 612/sq. mi
Demographics: 86% White, 6% Native American, 2% Hispanic, 1% Black, 1% Asian
Median Household Income: $38k
Bachelor's+ rate: 24%
Industries: Healthcare, Manufacturing, and Retail
Religion: Church attendance below average, mostly Catholic

My city was sorta a McCain-Romney-Clinton-Biden town. From 2010 to 2020, it went from majority white to majority black, became richer and more educated.

I was thinking something like
2004: Bush + 11
2008: McCain +6
2012: Romney +5
2016: Clinton +8
2020: Biden +12

SKIP