Create fictional cities and guess how they vote

[GregTheGreat657]

Please include racial makeup, percent of the population over 25 that graduates from college, how religious it is, and what religion is the most popular, median household income, if your city is urban, an urban-suburban mix dense suburban, sparse suburban, suburban-rural mix, or rural, and dominant industries. Please guess on the previous poster’s fictional city.

Population: 113,295 (increasing faster than the national average)
Racial Demographics: 79% White, 6% Hispanic, 2% Black, 12% Asian, 1% Native American
Religiousness: Not super religious, majority Protestant
Density: Dense suburban
Median Household Income: $86, 262
Dominant Industries: Logging, Education, and Healthcare
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 46%

[Meatball Ron]

Given above average educational attainment, population density, and lack of religiosity, I am going to say Biden +10-15; the lack of racial diversity and presence of the logging industry suggests a healthy Republican base which is why I wouldn't expect a larger margin. This city has trended D / is continuing to do so, and probably went for Romney in 2012, or Obama by a narrower margin.

[GregTheGreat657]

Given above average educational attainment, population density, and lack of religiosity, I am going to say Biden +10-15; the lack of racial diversity and presence of the logging industry suggests a healthy Republican base which is why I wouldn't expect a larger margin. This city has trended D / is continuing to do so, and probably went for Romney in 2012, or Obama by a narrower margin.

Thanks. Please feel free to create a fictional city of your own.

[Pink Panther]

The city that is the setting of the"Fairly Oddparents". It is fairly suburban and potentially college-educated. However, Butch Hartman, the show's creator, is a fundamentalist Evangelical. How would it vote in previous election?

[Meatball Ron]

Given above average educational attainment, population density, and lack of religiosity, I am going to say Biden +10-15; the lack of racial diversity and presence of the logging industry suggests a healthy Republican base which is why I wouldn't expect a larger margin. This city has trended D / is continuing to do so, and probably went for Romney in 2012, or Obama by a narrower margin.

Thanks. Please feel free to create a fictional city of your own.

Ah, sorry!

Population: ~80K (stagnant)
Racial Demographics: 42% White, 40% Hispanic, 15% Black, 3% Other
Religiousness: Below average religiosity; plurality Catholic but far short of a majority
Density: Urban, medium density
Median Household Income: $28,000
Dominant Industries: Healthcare, Manufacturing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 10%

[GregTheGreat657]

Given above average educational attainment, population density, and lack of religiosity, I am going to say Biden +10-15; the lack of racial diversity and presence of the logging industry suggests a healthy Republican base which is why I wouldn't expect a larger margin. This city has trended D / is continuing to do so, and probably went for Romney in 2012, or Obama by a narrower margin.

Thanks. Please feel free to create a fictional city of your own.

Ah, sorry!

Population: ~80K (stagnant)
Racial Demographics: 42% White, 40% Hispanic, 15% Black, 3% Other
Religiousness: Below average religiosity; plurality Catholic but far short of a majority
Density: Urban, medium density
Median Household Income: $28,000
Dominant Industries: Healthcare, Manufacturing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 10%

Probably was about Clinton + 40 in 2016, but Biden + 15 this year, because of working class Hispanic trends

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Population: 2,108
Racial Demographics: 98% white
Religiousness: Church attendance is very much below the national average
Density: Rural
Median Household Income: $47,800
Dominant Industries: Agriculture, Resort, Fishing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 100%

This is not a fictional city and all these stats are real. I'll reveal what it is after somebody guesses.

[GregTheGreat657]

Population: 2,108
Racial Demographics: 98% white
Religiousness: Church attendance is very much below the national average
Density: Rural
Median Household Income: $47,800
Dominant Industries: Agriculture, Resort, Fishing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 100%

This is not a fictional city and all these stats are real. I'll reveal what it is after somebody guesses.

Probably about Trump + 20 in 2016 and Trump + 5-10 in 2020, because education trends and the resort thing

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Population: 2,108
Racial Demographics: 98% white
Religiousness: Church attendance is very much below the national average
Density: Rural
Median Household Income: $47,800
Dominant Industries: Agriculture, Resort, Fishing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 100%

This is not a fictional city and all these stats are real. I'll reveal what it is after somebody guesses.

Probably about Trump + 20 in 2016 and Trump + 5-10 in 2020, because education trends and the resort thing

Nope. Clinton+12 and Biden+22. The town is Holderness, New Hampshire.

-skip-

[GregTheGreat657]

Population: 2,108
Racial Demographics: 98% white
Religiousness: Church attendance is very much below the national average
Density: Rural
Median Household Income: $47,800
Dominant Industries: Agriculture, Resort, Fishing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 100%

This is not a fictional city and all these stats are real. I'll reveal what it is after somebody guesses.

Probably about Trump + 20 in 2016 and Trump + 5-10 in 2020, because education trends and the resort thing, though it being rural is what keeps it red. Probably voted for Romney by about 25-30.

Population: 195,706 (increasing at about double the national average)
Racial Demographics: 37% White, 30% Hispanic, 22% Black, 9% Asian, 1% Native American, 1% Other
Religion: Church attendance is above the national average with about 45% of the population being Protestant and 40% of the population being Catholic
Density: Sparse Suburban (The city has a huge area)
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 32%
Household Income: $111,400
Dominant Industries: Insurance, Finance, Energy

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

College educated suburb likely in LA County? Hard to see it being anything other than Dem-voting.
EDIT: Was talking about Dimmsdale, thread was merged.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Population: 2,108
Racial Demographics: 98% white
Religiousness: Church attendance is very much below the national average
Density: Rural
Median Household Income: $47,800
Dominant Industries: Agriculture, Resort, Fishing
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o population): 100%

This is not a fictional city and all these stats are real. I'll reveal what it is after somebody guesses.

Probably about Trump + 20 in 2016 and Trump + 5-10 in 2020, because education trends and the resort thing, though it being rural is what keeps it red. Probably voted for Romney by about 25-30.

It voted for Obama by 16 points in 2012.

-skip again-

[GregTheGreat657]

The city that is the setting of the"Fairly Oddparents". It is fairly suburban and potentially college-educated. However, Butch Hartman, the show's creator, is a fundamentalist Evangelical. How would it vote in previous election?

Probably went for Biden by under 10, but went for Trump in 2016, and was a solid GOP area except for Southern Democrats.

[GregTheGreat657]

The city that is the setting of the"Fairly Oddparents". It is fairly suburban and potentially college-educated. However, Butch Hartman, the show's creator, is a fundamentalist Evangelical. How would it vote in previous election?

Probably went for Biden by under 10, but went for Trump in 2016, and was a solid GOP area except for Southern Democrats.

Population: 7,800 (decreasing)
Demographics: 96% White, 1.6% Hispanic, 0.7% Black, 0.2% Asian, 0.1% Native American
Median Household Income: $55k
Population Density: Dense suburban
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 24%
Religiousity: About the national average for Church attendance. The population is majority Protestant, but with a higher Catholic population than the national average

This is a real town.

[OBD]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

[GregTheGreat657]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

Probably about D + 25

Population: 43,202 (declining)
Demographics: 66% White, 27% Black, 5% Hispanic, 1% Asian, 1% Native American
Religiousness: Church attendance slightly above average, with 35% of the population being Methodist, 30% of the population is Methodist, 20% of the population is Catholic
Median Household Income: $38,700
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 18%
Density: Urban-Suburban mix
Dominant Industries: Manufacturing, Tourism, and Insurance

[Schiff for Senate]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

Quite Democratic, and trended much more to the left in the age of Trump. Probably gave Obama less than 60% in 2012 but Biden in 2020 a lot more than 60%. (Also, what city is this?)

How about this one?
POPULATION: 59100 (2019 estimate); 58300 (2010 census)
DEMOGRAPHICS (racial): 50% white; 26% African-American; 16% Hispanic; 5% Asian; 1% Native American; 2% other/multiple
DEMOGRAPHICS (gender): 52.7% female; 46.0% male; 1.3% transgender
DEMOGRAPHICS (religious): 27% Protestant; 20% Catholic; 13% Jewish; 7% Mormon; 6% Muslim; 14% some other religion; 13% nonreligious
DEMOGRAPHICS (LGBTA+): 15.3% LGBTA+; 1.3% transgender; 9.5% homosexual (5.5% lesbian; 4.0% gay); 3.5% bisexual; 0.9% asexual; 0.1% other LGBTA+
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME: $49,000
MAJOR INDUSTRIES: Biotech; Manufacturing; Government; Tourism; Sales
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT: Postgraduate degree, 25%; Bachelor's degree, 24%; High school, 28%; Less than High school, 21%
REGION: Midwest (not to be confused with the Great Plains)

[Meatball Ron]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

Quite Democratic, and trended much more to the left in the age of Trump. Probably gave Obama less than 60% in 2012 but Biden in 2020 a lot more than 60%. (Also, what city is this?)

How about this one?
POPULATION: 59100 (2019 estimate); 58300 (2010 census)
DEMOGRAPHICS (racial): 50% white; 26% African-American; 16% Hispanic; 5% Asian; 1% Native American; 2% other/multiple
DEMOGRAPHICS (gender): 52.7% female; 46.0% male; 1.3% transgender
DEMOGRAPHICS (religious): 27% Protestant; 20% Catholic; 13% Jewish; 7% Mormon; 6% Muslim; 14% some other religion; 13% nonreligious
DEMOGRAPHICS (LGBTA+): 15.3% LGBTA+; 1.3% transgender; 9.5% homosexual (5.5% lesbian; 4.0% gay); 3.5% bisexual; 0.9% asexual; 0.1% other LGBTA+
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME: $49,000
MAJOR INDUSTRIES: Biotech; Manufacturing; Government; Tourism; Sales
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT: Postgraduate degree, 25%; Bachelor's degree, 24%; High school, 28%; Less than High school, 21%
REGION: Midwest (not to be confused with the Great Plains)

This town seems incredibly Democratic given racial diversity, high LGBT population, high educational attainment, and biotech presence. I am inclined to think a place like this only exists in the NYC / Boston / SF / LA metros, but you said Midwest, so I'm guessing it's near Chicago, or otherwise some sort of liberal college town (but then education would be a major industry)?

I am going to skip adding a new one because there are a few that nobody has done either of these  yet:

Population: 43,202 (declining)
Demographics: 66% White, 27% Black, 5% Hispanic, 1% Asian, 1% Native American
Religiousness: Church attendance slightly above average, with 35% of the population being Methodist, 30% of the population is Methodist, 20% of the population is Catholic
Median Household Income: $38,700
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 18%
Density: Urban-Suburban mix
Dominant Industries: Manufacturing, Tourism, and Insurance

Population: 7,800 (decreasing)
Demographics: 96% White, 1.6% Hispanic, 0.7% Black, 0.2% Asian, 0.1% Native American
Median Household Income: $55k
Population Density: Dense suburban
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 24%
Religiousity: About the national average for Church attendance. The population is majority Protestant, but with a higher Catholic population than the national average

[Schiff for Senate]

The city that is the setting of the"Fairly Oddparents". It is fairly suburban and potentially college-educated. However, Butch Hartman, the show's creator, is a fundamentalist Evangelical. How would it vote in previous election?

Probably went for Biden by under 10, but went for Trump in 2016, and was a solid GOP area except for Southern Democrats.

Population: 7,800 (decreasing)
Demographics: 96% White, 1.6% Hispanic, 0.7% Black, 0.2% Asian, 0.1% Native American
Median Household Income: $55k
Population Density: Dense suburban
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 24%
Religiousity: About the national average for Church attendance. The population is majority Protestant, but with a higher Catholic population than the national average

This is a real town.

A Republican area, and it probably shifted rightward from 2012-2020.

[支持核绿派 (Greens4Nuclear)]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

I'm guessing this is in the San Gabriel Valley (Metro LA) as opposed to San Mateo County (SF Bay Area). Possibly Monterrey Park? Median household income is way too low to be Arcadia or San Marino.

Population: 195,706 (increasing at about double the national average)
Racial Demographics: 37% White, 30% Hispanic, 22% Black, 9% Asian, 1% Native American, 1% Other
Religion: Church attendance is above the national average with about 45% of the population being Protestant and 40% of the population being Catholic
Density: Sparse Suburban (The city has a huge area)
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 32%
Household Income: $111,400
Dominant Industries: Insurance, Finance, Energy

Sounds like a Metro Houston exurb if it's an actual city. Swung R in 2020 (or at least didn't swing significantly D) due to the relatively high Latino and Black (as opposed to Asian) populations, relatlvely high median household income, and relatively low college graduation rate- but likely still went for Biden. Countervailing demographic trends suggest that this locale would've voted similarly D in the past 3-4 election cycles if racial demographics are held constant.

/skip

[OBD]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

I'm guessing this is in the San Gabriel Valley (Metro LA) as opposed to San Mateo County (SF Bay Area). Possibly Monterrey Park? Median household income is way too low to be Arcadia or San Marino.

Population: 195,706 (increasing at about double the national average)
Racial Demographics: 37% White, 30% Hispanic, 22% Black, 9% Asian, 1% Native American, 1% Other
Religion: Church attendance is above the national average with about 45% of the population being Protestant and 40% of the population being Catholic
Density: Sparse Suburban (The city has a huge area)
College graduation rate (over 25 y/o): 32%
Household Income: $111,400
Dominant Industries: Insurance, Finance, Energy

Sounds like a Metro Houston exurb if it's an actual city. Swung R in 2020 (or at least didn't swing significantly D) due to the relatively high Latino and Black (as opposed to Asian) populations, relatlvely high median household income, and relatively low college graduation rate- but likely still went for Biden. Countervailing demographic trends suggest that this locale would've voted similarly D in the past 3-4 election cycles if racial demographics are held constant.

/skip

Actually I did a little tricky and picked Richmond, BC. But good guess!

[CookieDamage]

Name: Oak Plain

Type: City (mayor-council)

Settled: 1699
 
Incorporated as Township: 1843

Incorporated as city: 1859

Population: 45,653 (+16.75% from 2010)

Demographics 2020: 60% white, 16% hispanic/latino, 15% Asian (14% Indian/South Asian), 8% black

Demographics 2010: 68% white, 13% hispanic/latino, 11% Asian (8% Indian/South Asian), 8% black

Religiosity: 39% Protestant, 30% Catholic, 15% irreligious, 10% Hindu, 5% Jewish

Density: 9,546 sq/mi

Median income: $68,436

High school graduation rate: 94%

College attainment rate: 48%

Advanced degree: 15%

Dominant industries: Services, higher education, finance, medicine

Notable events: Oak Plain Arts Festival, Oak Plain Pride, Red Hill Hip Hop & Rap Festival

Home to Oak Plain State University, Mayers Cancer Research Center and Hospital, Oak Plain School for the Arts

[支持核绿派 (Greens4Nuclear)]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

I'm guessing this is in the San Gabriel Valley (Metro LA) as opposed to San Mateo County (SF Bay Area). Possibly Monterrey Park? Median household income is way too low to be Arcadia or San Marino.

Actually I did a little tricky and picked Richmond, BC. But good guess!

That would explain the absence of people with ancestry from Sub-Saharan Africa and/or Spanish-speaking Latin America. It would also explain the relatively low median household income (in USD) for the percentage of college grads.

The above municipality has historically voted D by 20-30% margins, but went for Biden by over 65% in 2020.



Population: 400,000

Density: 2000 people per km2 (inner suburbs)

Racial/ethnic demographics: 25% South Asian, 30% East/Southeast Asian, 30% Sub-Saharan African (mostly from the Caribbean), 10% multiracial, 4% Latin American, 1% Other

Religious demographics: 20% Christian (mostly Roman Catholic), 25% Muslim, 1% Other Abrahamic, 24% Hindu + Buddhist, 13% Spiritual/Other, 2% Atheist, 15% Agnostic or Unaffiliated.

Median Household Income (in 2021 USD): $69,000

Total Fertility rate: 2.3 children/woman

Major industries: manufacturing, chemical refining, hi-tech, hydroponics, tourism, education, healhcare, night markets

% of over 25 population with bachelors or higher: 31%

Foreign-born percentage: 10%

[GregTheGreat657]

Name: Oak Plain

Type: City (mayor-council)

Settled: 1699
 
Incorporated as Township: 1843

Incorporated as city: 1859

Population: 45,653 (+16.75% from 2010)

Demographics 2020: 60% white, 16% hispanic/latino, 15% Asian (14% Indian/South Asian), 8% black

Demographics 2010: 68% white, 13% hispanic/latino, 11% Asian (8% Indian/South Asian), 8% black

Religiosity: 39% Protestant, 30% Catholic, 15% irreligious, 10% Hindu, 5% Jewish

Density: 9,546 sq/mi

Median income: $68,436

High school graduation rate: 94%

College attainment rate: 48%

Advanced degree: 15%

Dominant industries: Services, higher education, finance, medicine

Notable events: Oak Plain Arts Festival, Oak Plain Pride, Red Hill Hip Hop & Rap Festival

Home to Oak Plain State University, Mayers Cancer Research Center and Hospital, Oak Plain School for the Arts

Strongly D. Dems probably outnumber Republicans 3 to 1, because of a high college graduation rate, it being a college town, and a very high advanced degree rate

Skip, because I already posted another one that has yet to be answered

[GregTheGreat657]

Population: 198,309
Demographics: 53% Chinese, 24% White, Other Asian 19%, Black 1%, Hispanic 1%
Religiousness: Low overall, but concerted presence of Buddhists and other less common religions
Median Income: $65,200
Density: Urban-suburban
Dominant Industries: services, tourism, aviation, government
College graduation rate: High

Same as Scott - this is a real city. Take a flier.

I'm guessing this is in the San Gabriel Valley (Metro LA) as opposed to San Mateo County (SF Bay Area). Possibly Monterrey Park? Median household income is way too low to be Arcadia or San Marino.

Actually I did a little tricky and picked Richmond, BC. But good guess!

That would explain the absence of people with ancestry from Sub-Saharan Africa and/or Spanish-speaking Latin America. It would also explain the relatively low median household income (in USD) for the percentage of college grads.

The above municipality has historically voted D by 20-30% margins, but went for Biden by over 65% in 2020.



Population: 400,000

Density: 2000 people per km2 (inner suburbs)

Racial/ethnic demographics: 25% South Asian, 30% East/Southeast Asian, 30% Sub-Saharan African (mostly from the Caribbean), 10% multiracial, 4% Latin American, 1% Other

Religious demographics: 20% Christian (mostly Roman Catholic), 25% Muslim, 1% Other Abrahamic, 24% Hindu + Buddhist, 13% Spiritual/Other, 2% Atheist, 15% Agnostic or Unaffiliated.

Median Household Income (in 2021 USD): $69,000

Total Fertility rate: 2.3 children/woman

Major industries: manufacturing, chemical refining, hi-tech, hydroponics, tourism, education, healhcare, night markets

% of over 25 population with bachelors or higher: 31%

Foreign-born percentage: 10%

Probably about 85-15 Democrat.

Skip, because I already posted one that has yet to be answered