What individual election result suggested that Clinton would win (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 08:21:43 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Dereich)
  What individual election result suggested that Clinton would win (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What individual election result suggested that Clinton would win  (Read 2810 times)
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,652
« on: December 07, 2021, 09:10:17 AM »

Urban Kentucky, it threw off the NYT needle to Clinton +6ish for an hour or so.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,652
« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2021, 09:12:48 AM »


IDK because the downstate R blowout increased dramatically vs. 2012
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,652
« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2022, 03:46:08 PM »

Miami-Dade County. It's astonishing how the swings to Trump in the remainder of Florida were enough to outweigh Clinton's performance there, which was the best for a Democrat in half a century. And in 2020, Miami-Dade County swung the other way, helping to cost Biden the state.


Florida 2016 imo is very similar to Ohio 2004 where Both Clinton and Kerry performed amazingly  well for a democratic presidential candidate in their region of the state (NE OH for Kerry and SE FL for Clinton) but Bush and Trump swamped Kerry and Clinton in the rest of the state to win . A key part of their wins came from swing areas that were trending republican(SE OH and WWC Central Floridia) and that helped them win .




Only difference is that W needed OH to win reelection in 2004. Trump could have afforded to lose FL in 2016, as he would have won the election with 277 EVs. Which sounds pretty much insane in retrospect. I remember expecting a short night in 2016, that once FL is called for HRC, the election is pretty much said and done.

That would have been interesting.  Dems celebrating early only to lose everything in MI by the middle of the morning. I do think a lot more energy would have been spent on contesting MI in that scenario. It was closer by raw margin than GA 2020.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 14 queries.