TX: Hamilton Beattie & Staff: Challengers are still struggling against Perry(R)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Texas Governor by Hamilton Beattie & Staff on 2006-09-18

Summary: D: 20%, R: 42%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[adam]

This poll doesn't seem very credible.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It does, Bush's approvals has gone up in the state. It doesn't agree with Zogby but this was conducted by a bipartisan polling firm D and R.

[adam]

this was conducted by a bipartisan polling firm D and R.

Which means more likely than not it was designed to make the two independents in the race appear less formidable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You believe Zogby who was discredited already with a Rasmussen senate poll which he oversamples independents in the state. Each polling firm oversamples whoever. But the main thing is that it is a bipartisan poll andPerry has the lead in every poll not just one. Not one independent has the lead so far.

[adam]

You believe Zogby who was discredited already with a Rasmussen senate poll which he oversamples independents in the state. Each polling firm oversamples whoever. But the main thing is that it is a bipartisan poll andPerry has the lead in every poll not just one. Not one independent has the lead so far.

Who said I believed Zogby? I once said that the results of one of their polls wouldn't suprise me, but I won't be handing them my seal of political excellence any time soon. When two independents in a race are passing a major party candidate not only in fundraising, but free media...the major party in trouble will do anything they can to discredit the independents, including collaborting with the opposing party to produce goofy poll results. I wont believe a poll that is partisan in any nature.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But no poll has the challengers within single digits, all of the polls have it a double digit lead, Perry probably wins no matter who is in second place.

[adam]

We'll see, despite ad blitzs...both Strayhorn and Perry remain virtually unchanged. This race is going to be closer than many people think.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But, if anyone other than Perry wins, I think it is going to be Strayhorn, since she was a republican before she changed parties.

[Democratic Hawk]

I'd love to see a 25-25-25-25 kind of split but Perry will hold on due to a highly fragmented opposition

Dave

[adam]

But, if anyone other than Perry wins, I think it is going to be Strayhorn, since she was a republican before she changed parties.

Most polls show her in a dead last (usually 3-5 points out of third). Her campaign has sank and all of the ads in the world wont save her. Bell is getting base appeal, but in Texas that isn't handy. If there is a god, and Perry is ousted...it will be at the hands of Kinky Friedman.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The rasmussen poll which is more accurate than the Survey USA has her in second place.

[adam]

The rasmussen poll which is more accurate than the Survey USA has her in second place.

That's the first time I have seen that poll, and thats the first time in a while that she has occupied the number 2 spot...I still think she is going to implode. (at one point she was at 31%, so I would say she already has). People just don't buy her I think.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But Perry will probably win but you never know. I rather have Strayhorn. I think Rasmussen is more accurate than the Survey USA poll you are going by and the Zogby poll that has Kinky in second. Rasmussen predicted accurated 2004 election second to MD.

[adam]

But Perry will probably win but you never know. I rather have Strayhorn. I think Rasmussen is more accurate than the Survey USA poll you are going by and the Zogby poll that has Kinky in second. Rasmussen predicted accurated 2004 election second to MD.

The Zogby poll had Bell in second.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Perry is favored to win whoever is in second but there is a chance for an upset.