Which Republican can win Nevada?
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April 26, 2024, 11:25:46 PM
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  Which Republican can win Nevada?
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Author Topic: Which Republican can win Nevada?  (Read 463 times)
MargieCat
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« on: July 26, 2021, 09:39:56 PM »

Barring someone like Sandoval, which republican presidential nominee could carry Nevada?

I think Trump might have been a highwater mark for a republican nominee in that state. Maybe another celebrity or athlete or businessman could win Nevada?

I don't see DeSantis, Cruz, Hawley, Cotton, Haley, Pence, or other big names winning there.
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Chips
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2021, 09:49:27 PM »

Any of them could. Nevada is a toss-up for 2024.
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Devils30
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2021, 10:26:55 PM »

I think some of Trump's close margin was Dems being caught flatfooted and believing NV was safe based on the past several years. I could see a reversion to around the national popular vote next time.
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THG
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2021, 11:06:25 PM »

A lot of them could.

Again- The Reid Machine is winding down and the DSA has taken over the Democratic Party there.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #4 on: July 27, 2021, 05:47:49 PM »

Rubio with his position on immigration.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: July 27, 2021, 05:53:11 PM »

Hot take (apparently): None. Nevada is still titanium lean D, and even more so if Democrats don't take it for granted like in 2020, and invest even just a slight bit into the state.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: July 27, 2021, 06:12:19 PM »

Not one the closest states OH due to Ds need OH to retain the Senate, GA and AZ, and AZ, because Sinema is detriment to her party by blocking Filibuster reform, when Ds loose the H she will be blamed and he primaries out by Ruben Gallego

GA and NC, TX and IA and FL are gonna be red states, Cooper is term limited
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: July 27, 2021, 07:25:13 PM »

Any of them could. Nevada is a toss-up for 2024.
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Nightcore Nationalist
Okthisisnotepic.
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« Reply #8 on: July 28, 2021, 07:11:06 AM »

Hot take (apparently): None. Nevada is still titanium lean D, and even more so if Democrats don't take it for granted like in 2020, and invest even just a slight bit into the state.

"Which Democrat can win Georgia?  None.  It's titanium lean R".


FTR, I don't think it's a pure toss up either, but it's the most likely flip of any Clinton 2016 state and it's far from impossible.


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PRESIDENT STANTON
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« Reply #9 on: July 28, 2021, 10:46:59 AM »

Probably DeSantis Or maybe Rubio if he decides to run!
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Not Me, Us
KhanOfKhans
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« Reply #10 on: July 28, 2021, 11:09:31 AM »

NV and NH are the only two Clinton 2016 states I think have a decent chance of flipping. If Hispanic trends continue, NV will flip R regardless of candidate, although Pence and Cotton are probably the worst fits for the state out of those with any shot at the nomination.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #11 on: July 28, 2021, 05:51:48 PM »

The local party's shift from the relative moderation and power of the Reid machine to the disorganized chaos that is Democratic Communists of America. It might be effective for primary battles, but isn't good for winning generals.

Trump did well because there are plenty of the people that carried Ohio for Obama and gave Trump a landslide- poorer people who are socially conservative but more pro-spending. This is an outlier as far as these people go for states on the west coast, kind of like Maine in New England.

If DeSantis continues to be a slightly less insane Trump, I could see him retaining it. Trump still lost, so I can't see any non favorite sons winning.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #12 on: July 28, 2021, 06:40:04 PM »

Probably DeSantis or Rubio. Trump was a decent fit but I think DeSantis and Rubio would be better for the Las Vegas suburbs.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: July 28, 2021, 06:43:14 PM »

Hot take (apparently): None. Nevada is still titanium lean D, and even more so if Democrats don't take it for granted like in 2020, and invest even just a slight bit into the state.

"Which Democrat can win Georgia?  None.  It's titanium lean R".


FTR, I don't think it's a pure toss up either, but it's the most likely flip of any Clinton 2016 state and it's far from impossible.




Georgia has consistently been trending the Democrats' way though, with a significant swing from 2016 to 2020 that allowed Biden to carry it. Nevada, meanwhile, swung a fraction of a percentage to the GOP in that same time while losing ground in Washoe County. And whatever gains were made in Clark County could conceivably be undone if Democrats contest the state even slightly more in 2024.

I do agree that it's easily the flimsiest Clinton state, but I still stand firm that it's lean D.
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